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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Sampdoria
T T U U T
0–0
Full-time
Spezia
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Spezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,7
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
56%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 16. · Spezia 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 16 9 6 1 +17 33
4 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
5 Cremonese 16 7 3 6 +4 24
6 Bari 17 5 9 3 +4 24
7 Juve Stabia 16 5 7 4 -2 22
8 Palermo 16 5 6 5 +3 21
9 Catanzaro 16 3 11 2 +3 20
10 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
11 Cosenza 17 4 8 5 -2 20
12 Brescia 16 5 4 7 -3 19
13 Mantova 17 4 7 6 -4 19
14 Carrarese 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Salernitana 16 4 5 7 -6 17
18 Frosinone 17 3 7 7 -10 16
19 Sudtirol 17 4 2 11 -14 14
20 Cittadella 16 3 5 8 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Spezia
21′
🟨 Filippo Bandinelli
A. Barreca 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
24′
36′
🟨 Petko Hristov
Half-time 0–0
Gennaro Tutino 🟨
48′
65′
🔁 D. Degli Innocenti
↦ F. Bandinelli
65′
🔁 A. Čolak
↦ G. Di Serio
Fabio Depaoli 🟨
71′
E. Akinsanmiro 🔁
↦ M. Ricci
74′
76′
🔁 G. Aurelio
↦ A. Reca
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ L. Benedetti
82′
F. Borini 🔁
↦ M. Coda
82′
89′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ Á. Nagy
Pajtim Kasami 🟨
94′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-5-2
22 S. Ghidotti G
18 L. Venuti D
17 M. Meulensteen D
5 A. Riccio D
23 F. Depaoli M
7 A. Bellemo M
8 M. Ricci M
80 L. Benedetti M
44 N. Ioannou M
10 G. Tutino F
9 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
3 A. Barreca
15 E. Akinsanmiro
14 P. Kasami
16 F. Borini
84 N. Sekulov
72 D. Veroli
11 Estanis Pedrola
33 M. Silvestri
28 Gerard Yepes
1 P. Vismara
34 S. Leonardi
31 S. Vulikić

Coach: A. Sottil

Spezia

3-5-2
66 S. Gori G
2 P. Wiśniewski D
55 P. Hristov D
37 A. Matějů D
7 S. Elia M
5 S. Esposito M
8 Á. Nagy M
25 F. Bandinelli M
13 A. Reca M
20 G. Di Serio F
9 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
6 D. Degli Innocenti
17 A. Čolak
31 G. Aurelio
11 D. Falcinelli
12 D. Mascardi
1 M. Sarr
44 M. Benvenuto
65 S. Giorgeschi
4 Salvador Ferrer
77 N. Bertola
27 E. Soleri
36 P. Candelari

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,06
B
2,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.