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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Pisa
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Carrarese
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Carrarese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
60%
35%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
55%
25%
Both score Ø 43%
55%
30%
Average goals
2,7
1,9
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Carrarese 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 21 15 4 2 +25 49
2 Pisa 20 12 5 3 +15 41
3 Spezia 21 10 9 2 +16 39
4 Cremonese 21 9 6 6 +8 33
5 Juve Stabia 21 7 9 5 -1 30
6 Catanzaro 21 5 13 3 +4 28
7 Bari 21 6 10 5 +4 28
8 Palermo 21 7 6 8 +3 27
9 Carrarese 20 7 6 7 -2 27
10 Cesena 21 7 5 9 -1 26
11 Modena 21 5 10 6 -1 25
12 Reggiana 21 6 7 8 -2 25
13 Cittadella 21 6 7 8 -12 25
14 Brescia 21 5 9 7 -3 24
15 Mantova 21 5 9 7 -4 24
16 Cosenza 21 4 10 7 -4 22
17 Sampdoria 21 4 9 8 -7 21
18 Frosinone 21 4 8 9 -13 20
19 Sudtirol 21 5 4 12 -14 19
20 Salernitana 21 4 6 11 -11 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Nov -24 Carrarese – Pisa 1–0

Match report

Pisa Carrarese
1–0 S. Canestrelli
S. Angori
22′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Cherubini
↦ L. Capezzi
46′
🔁 F. Oliana
↦ D. Bouah
61′
M. Finotto 1–1
S. Zanon
Marius Marin 🟨
65′
Stefano Moreo 🟨
69′
A. Rus 🔁
↦ A. Calabresi
74′
M. Højholt 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
74′
80′
🔁 L. Cerri
↦ M. Finotto
2–1 A. Caracciolo
87′
90′
🔁 A. Capello
↦ S. Shpendi
91′
🟨 Filippo Oliana
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ M. Tramoni
91′
91′
🔁 N. Belloni
↦ M. Imperiale
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
33 A. Calabresi D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
17 A. Rus
8 M. Højholt
28 O. Abildgaard
30 A. Arena
13 C. Sussi
9 N. Bonfanti
22 L. Loria
74 Ž. Jevšenak
80 O. Moruțan
1 Nícolas
94 G. Bonfanti
7 J. Mlakar

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Carrarese

3-5-2
1 M. Bleve G
72 S. Zanon D
4 J. Illanes D
3 M. Imperiale D
13 D. Bouah M
17 E. Zuelli M
82 L. Capezzi M
20 S. Giovane M
11 M. Cicconi M
32 M. Finotto F
19 S. Shpendi F
Bench (12)
9 L. Cherubini
6 F. Oliana
90 L. Cerri
28 A. Capello
77 N. Belloni
8 R. Palmieri
29 T. Maressa
25 F. Falco
24 N. Chiorra
71 I. Kovalenko
16 M. Cavion
44 G. Mazzi

Coach: A. Calabro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,36
B
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.