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Serie B
Referee: D Chiffi
Sudtirol
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Cosenza
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 14. · Cosenza 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 21 13 6 2 +23 45
2 Como 21 11 6 4 +8 39
3 Cremonese 21 11 5 5 +14 38
4 Venezia 21 11 5 5 +11 38
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Brescia 21 7 8 6 +1 29
9 Modena 21 7 7 7 -6 28
10 Bari 21 5 12 4 +0 27
11 Pisa 21 6 8 7 -1 26
12 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
13 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
14 Sudtirol 21 6 6 9 -1 24
15 Cosenza 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Ternana 21 5 6 10 -4 21
17 Lecco 21 5 5 11 -13 20
18 Ascoli 21 4 7 10 -7 19
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cosenza
36′
🟨 Michael Venturi
44′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
Half-time 0–0
48′
ℹ️ Simone Mazzocchi
VAR: Penalty confirmed
60′
🟨 Mateusz Praszelik
71′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ A. Florenzi
S. Davì 🔁
↦ N. Rauti
74′
77′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ F. Forte
78′
G. Frabotta 0–1
F. Zuccon
K. Vinetot 🔁
↦ R. Kofler
79′
A. Cisco 🔁
↦ A. Cagnano
79′
R. Odogwu 🔁
↦ E. Pecorino
79′
J. Kurtič 🔁
↦ S. Merkaj
84′
94′
🔁 G. Calò
↦ M. Praszelik
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
28 R. Kofler D
2 F. Scaglia D
55 A. Masiello D
11 R. Ciervo M
21 F. Tait M
4 T. Arrigoni M
33 S. Merkaj M
3 A. Cagnano M
23 N. Rauti F
9 E. Pecorino F
Bench (12)
24 S. Davì
5 K. Vinetot
26 A. Cisco
90 R. Odogwu
27 J. Kurtič
12 G. Drago
30 A. Giorgini
94 H. El Kaouakibi
6 L. Ghiringhelli
15 J. Broh
77 L. Lonardi
70 A. Moutassime

Coach: F. Valente

Cosenza

4-2-3-1
1 A. Micai G
18 B. Gyamfi D
5 M. Camporese D
23 M. Venturi D
99 G. Frabotta D
98 F. Zuccon M
26 M. Praszelik M
7 M. Marras M
30 S. Mazzocchi M
34 A. Florenzi M
10 F. Forte F
Bench (11)
42 I. Voca
19 V. Crespi
14 G. Calò
11 T. D'Orazio
35 D. Occhiuto
77 L. Marson
6 A. Fontanarosa
36 J. Novello
24 M. Viviani
12 A. Lai
3 A. Rispoli

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U
2,97
B ✓
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.