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Serie B
Referee: P Tremolada
Cremonese
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Cosenza
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
47%
26%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
53%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
42%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
0 Offside 7
7 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 6. · Cosenza 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 19 12 5 2 +20 41
2 Como 20 11 5 4 +8 38
3 Cittadella 20 10 6 4 +7 36
4 Venezia 19 10 5 4 +11 35
5 Catanzaro 20 10 3 7 +6 33
6 Cremonese 19 9 5 5 +12 32
7 Palermo 20 9 5 6 +7 32
8 Brescia 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Modena 20 7 7 6 -4 28
10 Bari 20 5 11 4 +0 26
11 Sampdoria 19 7 4 8 -1 25
12 Reggiana 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Sudtirol 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Pisa 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Cosenza 19 5 6 8 -2 21
16 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
17 Ternana 20 4 6 10 -6 18
18 Ascoli 19 4 5 10 -7 17
19 Spezia 20 3 8 9 -15 17
20 FeralpiSalo 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Cosenza
Luca Ravanelli 🟨
22′
23′
🟨 Mateusz Praszelik
Half-time 0–0
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ P. Ghiglione
46′
F. Tsadjout 🔁
↦ M. Coda
46′
53′
🟨 Michael Venturi
55′
🟨 Tommaso D'Orazio
62′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ F. Zuccon
62′
🔁 G. Frabotta
↦ T. DOrazio
74′
🔁 A. Rispoli
↦ B. Cimino
1–0 V. Antov
L. Zanimacchia
76′
L. Lochoshvili 🔁
↦ M. Bianchetti
78′
Michele Collocolo 🟨
79′
82′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ M. Praszelik
83′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ S. Mazzocchi
G. Quagliata 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
85′
Ž. Majer 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
89′
92′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
95′
🟨 Michele Camporese
David Okereke 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
18 P. Ghiglione M
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 M. Coda F
Bench (12)
77 D. Okereke
74 F. Tsadjout
44 L. Lochoshvili
33 G. Quagliata
37 Ž. Majer
11 F. Afena-Gyan
24 G. Della Rovere
31 Y. Rocchetti
21 G. Saro
9 D. Ciofani
32 G. Abrego
12 T. Brahja

Coach: G. Stroppa

Cosenza

4-3-3
1 A. Micai G
17 B. Cimino D
5 M. Camporese D
23 M. Venturi D
11 T. D'Orazio D
98 F. Zuccon M
14 G. Calò M
26 M. Praszelik M
7 M. Marras F
9 G. Tutino F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
42 I. Voca
99 G. Frabotta
3 A. Rispoli
34 A. Florenzi
19 V. Crespi
12 A. Lai
22 M. Castelnuovo
77 L. Marson
6 A. Fontanarosa
24 M. Viviani
21 M. Zilli
13 A. Meroni

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
3,79
B
5,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Tremolada · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.