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Serie B
Referee: D Minelli
FeralpiSalo
S S U T S
5–1
Full-time
Lecco
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FeralpiSalo Lecco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
24%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 53%
48%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FeralpiSalo 19. · Lecco 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 22 13 6 3 +20 45
2 Cremonese 22 12 5 5 +15 41
3 Venezia 22 12 5 5 +12 41
4 Como 22 11 6 5 +6 39
5 Palermo 22 10 6 6 +9 36
6 Cittadella 21 10 6 5 +5 36
7 Catanzaro 22 10 4 8 +3 34
8 Modena 22 8 7 7 -3 31
9 Brescia 22 7 8 7 +0 29
10 Cosenza 22 7 6 9 +0 27
11 Bari 21 5 12 4 +0 27
12 Pisa 21 6 8 7 -1 26
13 Reggiana 21 5 10 6 -3 25
14 Sampdoria 21 7 4 10 -6 25
15 Sudtirol 22 6 6 10 -2 24
16 Ascoli 22 5 7 10 -5 22
17 Ternana 22 5 6 11 -5 21
18 Lecco 21 5 5 11 -13 20
19 FeralpiSalo 21 4 5 12 -16 17
20 Spezia 21 3 8 10 -16 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -23 Lecco – FeralpiSalo 1–2

Match report

FeralpiSalo Lecco
1–0 B. Martella
D. Di Molfetta
10′
Bruno Martella 🟨
28′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🟨 Giorgio Galli
53′
🔁 M. Listkowski
↦ G. Galli
Federico Bergonzi 🟨
63′
2–0 M. Felici
66′
Mattia Felici 🟨
67′
69′
🔁 E. Salcedo
↦ G. Crociata
3–0 K. Butić
M. Felici
70′
72′
🔁 M. Battistini
↦ A. Bianconi
M. Tonetto 🔁
↦ M. Felici
74′
M. Zennaro 🔁
↦ D. Di Molfetta
75′
79′
N. Buso 3–1
A. Sersanti
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ E. Dubickas
82′
4–1 K. Butić
D. Balestrero
86′
A. Pietrelli 🔁
↦ K. Butić
90′
D. Hergheligiu 🔁
↦ C. Kourfalidis
90′
5–1 M. Tonetto
M. Zennaro
94′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
8 D. Balestrero D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
87 B. Martella D
66 F. Bergonzi M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
10 D. Di Molfetta M
97 M. Felici M
9 K. Butić F
11 E. Dubickas F
Bench (11)
3 M. Tonetto
20 M. Zennaro
91 A. La Mantia
99 A. Pietrelli
27 D. Hergheligiu
14 M. Compagnon
25 M. Sau
70 V. Parigini
17 D. Krastev
61 G. Volpe
19 A. Pilati

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Lecco

4-3-3
1 R. Melgrati G
32 F. Lepore D
2 V. Celjak D
6 A. Bianconi D
17 A. Caporale D
96 G. Galli M
8 A. Sersanti M
27 A. Ioniţă M
21 G. Crociata F
90 A. Novakovich F
99 N. Buso F
Bench (12)
29 M. Listkowski
10 E. Salcedo
13 M. Battistini
44 D. Guglielmotti
22 U. Saracco
26 M. Frigerio
28 C. Louakima
9 U. Eusepi
73 L. Di Stefano
11 H. Salomaa
34 L. Marrone
5 D. Degli Innocenti

Coach: E. Bonazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,33
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Minelli · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.