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Coppa Italia

Referee: P Tremolada

Cremonese

S T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Cittadella

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

31 Shots 17

11 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cremonese 6. · Cittadella 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	FeralpiSalo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
17	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cremonese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	FeralpiSalo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.