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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Ternana
T T T T T
0–0
Full-time
Bari
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 17. · Bari 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Modena 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Palermo 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Venezia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Catanzaro 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Bari 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Cosenza 4 1 1 2 +1 4
9 Cremonese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Pisa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Sampdoria 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Ascoli 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Reggiana 4 0 2 2 -3 2
15 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 3 0 0 3 -3 0
18 FeralpiSalo 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ternana Bari
Salim Diakite 🟨
3′
Half-time 0–0
A. Celli 🔁
↦ S. Diakité
46′
50′
🟨 Giacomo Ricci
58′
🔁 M. Edjouma
↦ G. Sibilli
A. Raimondo 🔁
↦ A. Favilli
59′
C. Favasuli 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
59′
71′
🔁 M. Aramu
↦ G. Morachioli
71′
🔁 Ahmed Benali
↦ M. Maita
César Falletti 🟨
74′
A. Mărginean 🔁
↦ J. Łabojko
77′
Costantino Favasuli 🟨
78′
F. Dionisi 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
82′
91′
🟨 Marco Nasti
92′
🔁 R. Pucino
↦ G. Ricci
92′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ M. Nasti
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ternana

3-5-2
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
19 M. Capuano D
13 V. Mantovani D
15 T. Casasola M
71 G. Luperini M
25 J. Łabojko M
66 N. Pyyhtiä M
91 N. Corrado M
17 A. Favilli F
10 C. Falletti F
Bench (11)
3 A. Celli
9 A. Raimondo
27 C. Favasuli
73 A. Mărginean
65 F. Dionisi
77 Gabriel Brazão
28 F. Distefano
4 F. Sørensen
44 L. Lucchesi
33 C. Travaglini
18 T. Vitali

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Bari

4-3-1-2
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
21 Ž. Žužek D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
26 I. Koutsoupias M
17 R. Maiello M
4 M. Maita M
20 G. Sibilli M
9 M. Nasti F
77 G. Morachioli F
Bench (12)
24 M. Edjouma
49 M. Aramu
8 Ahmed Benali
25 R. Pucino
10 N. Bellomo
5 E. Matino
11 I. Achik
19 F. Faggi
28 A. Hemsley
99 G. Frabotta
1 A. Farroni
44 G. Acampora

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,66
U ✓
3,09
B
2,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.