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Serie B
Referee: A Santoro
Bari
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Cittadella
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bari 8. · Cittadella 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Modena 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Venezia 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Cosenza 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Palermo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Catanzaro 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bari 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Pisa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Ascoli 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Cremonese 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Reggiana 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Como 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Ternana 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 FeralpiSalo 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Cittadella
1–0 M. Nasti
G. Sibilli
6′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Carissoni
↦ F. Giraudo
46′
🔁 F. Amatucci
↦ E. Kornvig
50′
🟨 Tommy Maistrello
59′
🔁 L. Pandolfi
↦ T. Maistrello
67′
🔁 A. Tessiore
↦ C. Cassano
Ahmed Benali 🔁
↦ I. Koutsoupias
69′
M. Edjouma 🔁
↦ G. Morachioli
75′
A. Scheidler 🔁
↦ G. Sibilli
75′
79′
🔁 F. Pittarello
↦ A. Magrassi
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ G. Ricci
82′
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
83′
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ M. Nasti
83′
89′
N. Pavan 1–1
A. Tessiore
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bari

4-3-1-2
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
26 I. Koutsoupias M
17 R. Maiello M
4 M. Maita M
20 G. Sibilli M
9 M. Nasti F
77 G. Morachioli F
Bench (12)
8 Ahmed Benali
24 M. Edjouma
44 A. Scheidler
25 R. Pucino
10 N. Bellomo
99 G. Frabotta
21 Ž. Žužek
33 D. Celiento
29 F. Lops
13 E. Polverino
19 F. Faggi
5 E. Matino

Coach: M. Mignani

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
2 A. Salvi D
26 N. Pavan D
15 D. Frare D
98 F. Giraudo D
16 A. Vita M
23 S. Branca M
17 E. Kornvig M
10 C. Cassano M
9 A. Magrassi F
32 T. Maistrello F
Bench (11)
24 L. Carissoni
8 F. Amatucci
7 L. Pandolfi
18 A. Tessiore
11 F. Pittarello
4 M. Angeli
77 L. Maniero
27 A. Danzi
21 N. Saggionetto
28 A. Rizza
5 V. Mastrantonio

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U ✓
3,08
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.