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Serie B

Empoli

T S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Spal

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

23 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

8 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 3. · Spal 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Salernitana	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Frosinone	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Reggina	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Reggiana	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Brescia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Chievo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Lecce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Venezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Spal	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Pordenone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Cosenza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cremonese	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Virtus Entella	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Pisa	3	0	2	1	-3	2
18	Vicenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Ascoli	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Venezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Pordenone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Vicenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Lecce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Spal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reggina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Pordenone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Cosenza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ascoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Pisa	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Brescia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.