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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Paris FC
U S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Dunkerque
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
43%
19%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
38%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 10. · Dunkerque 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 21 13 4 4 +16 43
2 Auxerre 21 12 6 3 +22 42
3 Grenoble 21 9 9 3 +8 36
4 Laval 21 10 6 5 +4 36
5 Amiens 22 9 7 6 -1 34
6 Caen 21 9 5 7 +4 32
7 St Etienne 22 9 5 8 +0 32
8 Guingamp 21 8 7 6 +8 31
9 Rodez 21 8 7 6 +3 31
10 Paris FC 21 9 4 8 +2 31
11 Pau FC 21 8 7 6 +1 31
12 Ajaccio 21 8 6 7 -2 30
13 Bordeaux 21 7 5 9 -5 26
14 Concarneau 21 7 4 10 -8 25
15 Bastia 21 6 6 9 -1 24
16 Troyes 21 5 8 8 -2 23
17 Annecy 21 4 7 10 -8 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 21 3 8 10 -6 17
19 Dunkerque 21 4 5 12 -17 17
20 Valenciennes 21 1 8 12 -18 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Dunkerque
21′
🟨 Alioune Ba
Jules Gaudin 🟨
37′
41′
E. Bardeli 0–1
B. Youssouf
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Dabila
C. Mandouki
56′
60′
🟨 Elhadj Bah
67′
G. Courtet 1–2
B. Youssouf
70′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ E. Bah
Lamine Diaby-Fadiga 🟥
74′
A. Camara 🔁
↦ L. Doucet
79′
J. López 🔁
↦ J. Gaudin
85′
86′
🔁 Opa Sanganté
↦ G. Yassine
Adama Camara 🟨
89′
Y. Demoncy 🔁
↦ K. Dabila
89′
94′
🔁 J. Senneville
↦ E. Bardeli
94′
🔁 T. Keita
↦ J. Gbamin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-4-1-1
16 O. Nkambadio G
13 K. Dabila D
25 Y. Koré D
5 M. Mbow D
27 J. Gaudin D
7 A. Gory M
14 C. Mandouki M
18 L. Doucet M
23 J. Lukembila M
10 I. Kebbal F
9 L. Diaby-Fadiga F
Bench (7)
17 A. Camara
20 J. López
8 Y. Demoncy
33 D. Colau
1 R. Riou
15 T. Kolodziejczak
37 F. Pannafit

Coach: S. Gilli

Dunkerque

4-4-1-1
16 A. Balijon G
19 B. Youssouf D
2 A. Ba D
23 H. Gambor D
7 Y. Bilingi D
80 G. Yassine M
25 J. Gbamin M
10 J. Anziani M
24 E. Bah M
20 E. Bardeli F
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
27 R. Ghrieb
26 Opa Sanganté
13 J. Senneville
8 T. Keita
21 A. Gnanduillet
9 S. Baghdadi
30 M. Koné

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,54
B ✓
4,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.