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Ligue 2
Referee: R Delpech
Valenciennes
T U U U T
0–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 12%
8%
15%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
38%
46%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 20. · Dunkerque 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Angers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Auxerre 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Grenoble 13 5 6 2 +3 21
6 Guingamp 13 5 5 3 +7 20
7 Ajaccio 13 5 5 3 +2 20
8 Rodez 13 5 4 4 +2 19
9 Amiens 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Bastia 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Bordeaux 14 4 4 6 -6 16
13 Caen 13 4 3 6 +2 15
14 Annecy 14 3 6 5 -5 15
15 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
16 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
17 Troyes 13 2 7 4 -1 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 13 2 4 7 -4 10
19 Dunkerque 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Valenciennes 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Dunkerque
24′
🟨 Billy Koumetio
David Kruse 🟨
40′
45′
🟨 Hugo Gambor
Half-time 0–0
Allan Linguet 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 Enzo Bardeli
63′
🔁 A. Gnanduillet
↦ S. Baghdadi
63′
🔁 R. Ghrieb
↦ J. Anziani
Sacha Banse 🟨
67′
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ D. Kruse
71′
A. Jung 🔁
↦ N. Venema
71′
73′
🔁 R. Boissier
↦ H. Gambor
J. Masson 🔁
↦ Bruno Costa
76′
Julien Masson 🟨
81′
88′
E. Bardeli 0–1
R. Ghrieb
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ S. Bansé
90′
90′
🔁 Á. Orelién
↦ B. Youssouf
90′
🔁 D. Trichard
↦ E. Bardeli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-1-4-1
16 J. Louchet G
24 A. Linguet D
5 J. Poha D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
15 L. Woudenberg D
8 S. Bansé M
17 A. Boutoutaou M
23 D. Kruse M
28 Bruno Costa M
34 M. Lilepo M
10 N. Venema F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hamache
18 A. Jung
6 J. Masson
11 U. Bonnet
29 J. Kalai
30 L. Diabaté
4 T. Moore

Coach: Jorge Maciel

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
26 Opa Sanganté D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
89 B. Koumetio D
8 T. Keita M
23 H. Gambor M
19 B. Youssouf M
20 E. Bardeli M
10 J. Anziani M
9 S. Baghdadi F
Bench (7)
21 A. Gnanduillet
27 R. Ghrieb
5 R. Boissier
29 Á. Orelién
22 D. Trichard
28 D. Thiam
1 L. Lavallée

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,25
B ✓
3,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,09
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Delpech · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.