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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Valenciennes

T S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Bastia

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 17%

29%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

38%

48%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 20. · Bastia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	21	13	4	4	+16	43
2	Auxerre	21	12	6	3	+22	42
3	Grenoble	21	9	9	3	+8	36
4	Laval	21	10	6	5	+4	36
5	Amiens	22	9	7	6	-1	34
6	Caen	21	9	5	7	+4	32
7	St Etienne	22	9	5	8	+0	32
8	Guingamp	21	8	7	6	+8	31
9	Rodez	21	8	7	6	+3	31
10	Paris FC	21	9	4	8	+2	31
11	Pau FC	21	8	7	6	+1	31
12	Ajaccio	21	8	6	7	-2	30
13	Bordeaux	21	7	5	9	-5	26
14	Concarneau	21	7	4	10	-8	25
15	Bastia	21	6	6	9	-1	24
16	Troyes	21	5	8	8	-2	23
17	Annecy	21	4	7	10	-8	19
18	Quevilly Rouen	21	3	8	10	-6	17
19	Dunkerque	21	4	5	12	-17	17
20	Valenciennes	21	1	8	12	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Ajaccio	10	6	4	0	+9	22
3	Rodez	10	6	3	1	+9	21
4	Auxerre	10	6	2	2	+12	20
5	Grenoble	11	5	5	1	+4	20
6	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+3	20
7	Pau FC	11	5	4	2	+5	19
8	Bastia	11	5	3	3	+2	18
9	Laval	11	5	3	3	-1	18
10	Caen	10	5	2	3	+5	17
11	Paris FC	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+3	15
13	St Etienne	12	4	3	5	+0	15
14	Troyes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
15	Guingamp	10	3	4	3	+5	13
16	Concarneau	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Annecy	10	2	4	4	-2	10
18	Quevilly Rouen	10	2	3	5	-2	9
19	Dunkerque	11	1	2	8	-13	5
20	Valenciennes	10	0	4	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	11	6	4	1	+10	22
2	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+3	18
4	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+0	17
5	Grenoble	10	4	4	2	+4	16
6	Caen	11	4	3	4	-1	15
7	Angers	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Paris FC	10	4	2	4	-2	14
9	Concarneau	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Amiens	10	4	2	4	-4	14
11	Pau FC	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Bordeaux	11	3	2	6	-8	11
14	Rodez	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Troyes	11	1	6	4	-3	9
16	Annecy	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Quevilly Rouen	11	1	5	5	-4	8
18	Ajaccio	11	2	2	7	-11	8
19	Valenciennes	11	1	4	6	-10	7
20	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.