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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Concarneau
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Valenciennes
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Concarneau Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
32%
9%
Points per game
1,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
36%
41%
Both score Ø 37%
32%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Concarneau 14. · Valenciennes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 22 12 7 3 +22 43
2 Angers 22 13 4 5 +15 43
3 Laval 22 11 6 5 +5 39
4 Grenoble 22 9 10 3 +8 37
5 Amiens 22 9 7 6 -1 34
6 Caen 22 9 6 7 +4 33
7 Ajaccio 22 9 6 7 -1 33
8 Guingamp 22 8 8 6 +8 32
9 Pau FC 22 8 8 6 +1 32
10 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 -1 32
11 Rodez 22 8 7 7 +2 31
12 Paris FC 22 9 4 9 +1 31
13 Bordeaux 22 8 5 9 -4 29
14 Concarneau 22 7 4 11 -9 25
15 Troyes 22 5 9 8 -2 24
16 Bastia 22 6 6 10 -3 24
17 Dunkerque 23 6 5 12 -15 23
18 Annecy 22 4 8 10 -8 20
19 Quevilly Rouen 22 3 9 10 -6 18
20 Valenciennes 22 2 8 12 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Concarneau Valenciennes
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Bâ
J. Faussurier
63′
70′
🔁 I. Hamache
↦ M. Lilepo
70′
🔁 T. Moore
↦ H. Šabanović
71′
🔁 A. Boutoutaou
↦ Flamarion
76′
🔁 D. Kruse
↦ J. Masson
76′
🔁 M. Oyewusi
↦ A. Jung
N. Ndombasi 🔁
↦ K. Diawara
78′
I. Matondo 🔁
↦ A. Urié
78′
C. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ P. Bâ
84′
R. Sans 🔁
↦ B. Mouazan
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Concarneau

4-4-2
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
2 A. Georgen D
19 K. Diawara M
6 A. Phliponeau M
17 M. Etuin M
11 A. Urié M
20 B. Mouazan F
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
9 N. Ndombasi
7 I. Matondo
22 C. Rodrigues
23 R. Sans
15 G. Barès
1 M. Pattier
28 I. Paro

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Valenciennes

4-4-2
30 L. Diabaté G
2 H. Šabanović D
44 J. Sanda D
14 J. Cuffaut D
3 S. Basse D
93 A. Knockaert M
59 M. Ondoa M
6 J. Masson M
96 Flamarion M
18 A. Jung F
34 M. Lilepo F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hamache
4 T. Moore
17 A. Boutoutaou
23 D. Kruse
90 M. Oyewusi
15 L. Woudenberg
16 J. Louchet

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,12
B
3,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.