Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rodez
Bastia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajaccio
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 35 |
| 2 |
Toulouse
|
18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | +21 | 34 |
| 3 |
Auxerre
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +10 | 33 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +8 | 33 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | +6 | 29 |
| 7 |
Rodez
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |
Niort
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 |
Pau FC
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 |
Nimes
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 |
Amiens
|
18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 13 |
Caen
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 |
Guingamp
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 21 |
| 15 |
Grenoble
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 |
Dijon
|
18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -6 | 20 |
| 17 |
Valenciennes
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -12 | 20 |
| 18 |
Bastia
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 19 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 16 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Toulouse
Rodez
Rodez
Nimes
Nancy
Rodez
Paris FC
Rodez
Rodez
Quevilly Rouen
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.