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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Bastia
U T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Angers
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
26%
63%
Points per game
1,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 35%
37%
32%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 1
5 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 15. · Angers 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Angers 19 12 4 3 +17 40
2 Auxerre 19 11 5 3 +20 38
3 Laval 20 10 5 5 +4 35
4 Grenoble 19 9 7 3 +8 34
5 Pau FC 19 8 7 4 +3 31
6 Ajaccio 19 8 6 5 +2 30
7 St Etienne 20 8 5 7 +0 29
8 Guingamp 19 7 6 6 +7 27
9 Rodez 19 7 6 6 +2 27
10 Paris FC 19 8 3 8 +1 27
11 Caen 19 7 5 7 +2 26
12 Amiens 19 6 7 6 -4 25
13 Bordeaux 19 6 5 8 -5 23
14 Concarneau 19 6 4 9 -8 22
15 Bastia 19 5 6 8 -2 21
16 Troyes 19 4 8 7 -3 20
17 Annecy 19 4 7 8 -6 19
18 Quevilly Rouen 19 3 8 8 -4 17
19 Dunkerque 19 3 4 12 -19 13
20 Valenciennes 19 1 8 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Angers
Jocelyn Janneh 🟨
23′
1–0 F. Bianchini
M. Alfarela
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Niané
↦ J. Lopy
2–0 M. Alfarela
B. Santelli
60′
61′
🔁 J. Bahoya
↦ F. El Melali
61′
🔁 Z. Ould Khaled
↦ P. Capelle
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ F. Bianchini
71′
K. Djoco 🔁
↦ M. Alfarela
76′
A. Roncaglia 🔁
↦ C. Traoré
82′
R. Yapi 🔁
↦ B. Santelli
82′
M. Souboul 🔁
↦ J. Janneh
83′
84′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ Z. Ferhat
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
15 F. Bohnert D
95 C. Keita D
99 Y. Okou D
22 C. Traoré D
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
17 F. Bianchini M
7 C. Vincent M
9 B. Santelli M
10 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
18 F. Tomi
39 K. Djoco
4 A. Roncaglia
27 R. Yapi
21 M. Souboul
23 J. Fabri
19 M. Loubatières

Coach: R. Brouard

Angers

4-2-3-1
16 M. Zinga G
27 L. Rao-Lisoa D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
26 F. Hanin D
15 P. Capelle M
8 J. Lopy M
20 Z. Ferhat M
10 H. Abdelli M
28 F. El Melali M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
7 I. Niané
24 J. Bahoya
12 Z. Ould Khaled
23 A. Hunou
4 H. Šabanović
50 E. Pasture
29 O. Camara

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,34
U
3,06
B
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.