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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Guingamp
U S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Auxerre
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Auxerre 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Angers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Auxerre 12 6 4 2 +12 22
5 Grenoble 13 5 6 2 +3 21
6 Ajaccio 13 5 5 3 +2 20
7 Rodez 13 5 4 4 +2 19
8 Amiens 13 5 4 4 -2 19
9 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
10 Guingamp 12 4 5 3 +6 17
11 Bastia 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Caen 13 4 3 6 +2 15
13 Annecy 13 3 6 4 -3 15
14 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
15 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
16 Troyes 13 2 7 4 -1 13
17 Bordeaux 13 3 4 6 -8 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 13 2 4 7 -4 10
19 Dunkerque 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Valenciennes 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Auxerre
17′
🟨 Ousmane Camara
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
41′
Half-time 0–0
Donatien Gomis 🟨
46′
0–1 T. Pellenard
own goal
51′
68′
🔁 F. Ayé
↦ L. Sinayoko
68′
🔁 R. Raveloson
↦ A. Dioussé
68′
🔁 A. Onaiwu
↦ Ousmane Camara
Baptiste Guillaume 🟨
70′
Amadou Sagna 🟨
71′
72′
G. Perrin 0–2
F. Ayé
Maxime Sivis 🟨
73′
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Saad Agouzoul
1–2 A. El Ouazzani
80′
B. Roux 🔁
↦ H. Picard
82′
83′
🔁 E. Maddy
↦ G. Hein
83′
🔁 C. Dagba
↦ P. Joly
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
87′
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
88′
96′
🟥 Rayan Raveloson
Maxime Sivis 🟥
97′
Gaëtan Courtet 🟨
100′
100′
🟨 Théo Pellenard
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
26 M. Riou D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
10 M. Merghem M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibé M
20 H. Picard M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sagna
2 B. Roux
18 G. Courtet
17 J. Siwe
19 J. Iglesias
15 V. Manceau
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Dumont

Auxerre

4-2-3-1
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
6 S. Agouzoul D
5 T. Pellenard D
14 G. Mensah D
18 A. Dioussé M
42 E. Owusu M
10 G. Perrin M
7 G. Hein M
17 L. Sinayoko M
28 Ousmane Camara F
Bench (7)
19 F. Ayé
97 R. Raveloson
45 A. Onaiwu
11 E. Maddy
2 C. Dagba
13 C. Akpa
40 T. De Percin

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,14
U
3,31
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.