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Ligue 2
Referee: R Delpech
Bastia
T T T S U
0–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
55%
64%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
6 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bastia 14. · Guingamp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 11 8 1 2 +7 25
2 Angers 11 7 2 2 +9 23
3 Auxerre 11 6 4 1 +13 22
4 Grenoble 11 5 6 0 +7 21
5 St Etienne 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Rodez 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 Ajaccio 11 4 5 2 +0 17
8 Guingamp 11 4 4 3 +6 16
9 Pau FC 11 4 3 4 -2 15
10 Amiens 11 4 3 4 -3 15
11 Caen 11 4 2 5 +3 14
12 Bordeaux 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Annecy 11 2 6 3 -2 12
14 Bastia 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Concarneau 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Paris FC 11 3 1 7 -4 10
17 Troyes 11 1 6 4 -2 9
18 Valenciennes 11 1 5 5 -8 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 11 1 4 6 -5 7
20 Dunkerque 11 1 3 7 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Guingamp
Romaric Yapi 🟨
37′
45′
🟨 Pierre Lemonnier
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 M. Merghem
↦ J. Iglesias
J. Maggiotti 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
64′
K. Djoco 🔁
↦ M. Alfarela
64′
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
69′
78′
🟨 Dylan Louiserre
79′
🔁 G. Courtet
↦ B. Guillaume
79′
🔁 H. Picard
↦ A. Sagna
90′
🔁 J. Siwe
↦ A. El Ouazzani
93′
🟨 Maxime Sivis
93′
🟨 Pierre Lemonnier
93′
🟥 Pierre Lemonnier
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bastia

5-3-2
30 J. Placide G
27 R. Yapi D
4 A. Roncaglia D
95 C. Keita D
99 Y. Okou D
11 D. Liénard D
7 C. Vincent M
13 T. Ducrocq M
66 J. Janneh M
10 M. Alfarela F
9 B. Santelli F
Bench (7)
8 J. Maggiotti
39 K. Djoco
17 F. Bianchini
18 F. Tomi
3 L. Guého
23 J. Fabri
42 Dylan Tavares

Coach: R. Brouard

Guingamp

4-3-3
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
25 A. Ben Mohamed D
19 J. Iglesias M
8 K. Sidibé M
4 D. Louiserre M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
21 B. Guillaume F
11 A. Sagna F
Bench (7)
10 M. Merghem
18 G. Courtet
20 H. Picard
17 J. Siwe
15 V. Manceau
2 B. Roux
30 B. Niasse

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,20
B
2,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Delpech · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.