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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Guingamp
S U S S S
0–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 3. · Dunkerque 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Auxerre 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Caen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Laval 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Troyes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Ajaccio 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Angers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 St Etienne 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Paris FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Valenciennes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Dunkerque
V. Manceau 🔁
↦ A. Ndour
13′
14′
🔁 A. Ipiélé
↦ R. Ghrieb
Half-time 0–0
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ H. Picard
62′
62′
🔁 A. Ba-Sy
↦ L. Etonde
Jonathan Iglesias 🟨
63′
71′
🟨 Opa Sangante
B. Roux 🔁
↦ J. Iglesias
73′
73′
🔁 J. Anziani
↦ T. Keita
73′
🔁 Á. Orelién
↦ E. Bardeli
Baptiste Guillaume 🟨
80′
Donatien Gomis 🟨
80′
82′
Á. Orelién 0–1
M. Merghem 🔁
↦ D. Louiserre
85′
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ G. Courtet
85′
91′
🔁 D. Trichard
↦ A. Ipiélé
93′
🟨 Amadou Ba-Sy
Maxime Sivis 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Julien Anziani
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
26 M. Riou D
12 A. Ndour D
19 J. Iglesias M
4 D. Louiserre M
9 A. El Ouazzani M
18 G. Courtet M
20 H. Picard M
21 B. Guillaume F
Bench (7)
15 V. Manceau
11 A. Sagna
2 B. Roux
10 M. Merghem
17 J. Siwe
30 B. Niasse
24 P. Lemonnier

Coach: S. Dumont

Dunkerque

3-4-2-1
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 H. Gambor D
19 B. Youssouf M
5 R. Boissier M
8 T. Keita M
28 D. Thiam M
27 R. Ghrieb F
20 E. Bardeli F
18 L. Etonde F
Bench (7)
17 A. Ipiélé
11 A. Ba-Sy
10 J. Anziani
29 Á. Orelién
22 D. Trichard
25 F. Situmona Mbemba
1 L. Lavallée

Coach: M. Chabert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U
3,46
B ✓
4,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.