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Ligue 2

Ajaccio

U S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Dunkerque

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 41%

58%

24%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 26%

15%

36%

Both score Ø 27%

15%

39%

Average goals

1,5

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

14 Shots 2

8 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 2. · Dunkerque 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	33	21	9	3	+48	72
2	Ajaccio	33	19	7	7	+17	64
3	Auxerre	33	17	10	6	+18	61
4	Paris FC	33	17	9	7	+16	60
5	Sochaux	33	17	9	7	+12	60
6	Le Havre	33	12	11	10	-1	47
7	Caen	33	12	10	11	+11	46
8	Guingamp	33	11	12	10	-3	45
9	Niort	33	12	8	13	+2	44
10	Amiens	33	9	15	9	+6	42
11	Dijon	33	12	6	15	-5	42
12	Pau FC	33	12	6	15	-6	42
13	Nimes	33	11	7	15	-8	40
14	Bastia	33	8	15	10	+1	39
15	Valenciennes	33	8	12	13	-12	36
16	Grenoble	33	10	6	17	-14	36
17	Quevilly Rouen	33	8	10	15	-18	34
18	Rodez	33	7	12	14	-13	33
19	Dunkerque	33	8	6	19	-19	30
20	Nancy	33	5	8	20	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	17	12	4	1	+35	40
2	Paris FC	16	9	6	1	+14	33
3	Ajaccio	16	10	3	3	+10	33
4	Sochaux	16	9	4	3	+7	31
5	Pau FC	17	10	1	6	+6	31
6	Auxerre	16	8	4	4	+11	28
7	Amiens	17	7	6	4	+13	27
8	Caen	17	8	2	7	+10	26
9	Dijon	17	8	2	7	+0	26
10	Niort	16	7	4	5	+7	25
11	Bastia	17	4	12	1	+7	24
12	Guingamp	16	6	6	4	+2	24
13	Le Havre	17	6	5	6	-1	23
14	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-3	21
15	Dunkerque	17	5	5	7	-5	20
16	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	7	5	-4	19
17	Nimes	17	5	4	8	-5	19
18	Rodez	16	3	8	5	-3	17
19	Valenciennes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Nancy	16	4	4	8	-11	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	17	9	6	2	+7	33
2	Toulouse	16	9	5	2	+13	32
3	Ajaccio	17	9	4	4	+7	31
4	Sochaux	17	8	5	4	+5	29
5	Paris FC	17	8	3	6	+2	27
6	Le Havre	16	6	6	4	+0	24
7	Nimes	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	Guingamp	17	5	6	6	-5	21
9	Caen	16	4	8	4	+1	20
10	Valenciennes	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Niort	17	5	4	8	-5	19
12	Dijon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Rodez	17	4	4	9	-10	16
14	Bastia	16	4	3	9	-6	15
15	Amiens	16	2	9	5	-7	15
16	Grenoble	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Quevilly Rouen	17	4	3	10	-14	15
18	Pau FC	16	2	5	9	-12	11
19	Dunkerque	16	3	1	12	-14	10
20	Nancy	17	1	4	12	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.