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Ligue 2
Le Havre
S T U U S
0–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Havre Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 18%
24%
12%
Both score Ø 30%
41%
18%
Average goals
1,6
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
0,6
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Havre 6. · Ajaccio 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 17 9 6 2 +21 33
2 Ajaccio 17 9 5 3 +10 32
3 Sochaux 17 9 4 4 +4 31
4 Auxerre 17 8 6 3 +8 30
5 Paris FC 17 9 3 5 +5 30
6 Le Havre 17 7 8 2 +7 29
7 Rodez 17 7 4 6 +3 25
8 Pau FC 17 7 3 7 +0 24
9 Niort 17 7 3 7 -1 24
10 Guingamp 17 5 6 6 -3 21
11 Grenoble 17 6 3 8 -5 21
12 Nimes 17 5 5 7 -2 20
13 Quevilly Rouen 17 5 5 7 -6 20
14 Valenciennes 17 5 5 7 -9 20
15 Dijon 17 6 1 10 -6 19
16 Amiens 17 3 9 5 +1 18
17 Caen 17 4 6 7 -1 18
18 Bastia 17 4 6 7 -3 18
19 Dunkerque 17 4 4 9 -8 16
20 Nancy 17 2 6 9 -15 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
U
2,82
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,90
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.