Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valenciennes
Ajaccio
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +48 | 73 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +18 | 67 |
| 3 |
Auxerre
|
34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | +17 | 63 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +12 | 61 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 50 |
| 7 |
Guingamp
|
34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +0 | 48 |
| 8 |
Caen
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +10 | 46 |
| 9 |
Niort
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 10 |
Nimes
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -7 | 43 |
| 11 |
Amiens
|
34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | +4 | 42 |
| 12 |
Dijon
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -6 | 42 |
| 13 |
Pau FC
|
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 |
Bastia
|
34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | +1 | 40 |
| 15 |
Grenoble
|
34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 39 |
| 16 |
Valenciennes
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -15 | 36 |
| 17 |
Rodez
|
34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -13 | 34 |
| 18 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -20 | 30 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -32 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Grenoble
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Le Havre
Auxerre
Valenciennes
Valenciennes
Amiens
Dunkerque
Valenciennes
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.