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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Bickel
Darmstadt
T U T U T
2–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,71 xG 1,38
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -26 Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel 2–0 4. Oct -25 Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt 1–1 30. Apr -23 Holstein Kiel – Darmstadt 0–3 21. Oct -22 Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel 1–1 2. Apr -22 Darmstadt – Holstein Kiel 3–1

Match report

Darmstadt Holstein Kiel
8′
⚽ G. Balzi 0–1
P. Harres
28′
🟨 Ivan Nekić
Yosuke Furukawa 🟨
35′
42′
⚽ P. Harres 0–2
A. Kapralik
Noah Weißhaupt 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
47′
🟨 Hiroki Sekine
Lee Ho-Jae 🔁
↦ F. Lakenmacher
60′
N. Verkooijen 🔁
↦ N. Weisshaupt
60′
62′
🟨 Leon Parduzi
M. Merx 🔁
↦ Y. Furukawa
68′
76′
🔁 F. Alidou
↦ A. Bernhardsson
76′
🔁 J. Therkelsen
↦ A. Kapralik
1–2 Lee Ho-Jae ⚽
K. Klefisch
76′
84′
🔁 M. Ivezic
↦ L. Parduzi
R. Petretta 🔁
↦ F. Kleinhansl
85′
I. El Kadiri 🔁
↦ C. Lannert
85′
2–2 A. Vukotic ⚽
L. Duijvestijn
86′
92′
🔁 I. Ugoh
↦ K. Davidsen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
28 C. Lannert D
6 P. Pfeiffer D
20 A. Vukotic D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
7 N. Weisshaupt M
41 L. Duijvestijn M
44 Y. Furukawa M
19 F. Lakenmacher F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
22 L. Kehl
9 Lee Ho-Jae
49 Y. Luhrs
10 N. Verkooijen
18 R. Petretta
23 C. Sickinger
11 I. El Kadiri
48 M. Merx

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
1 T. Weiner G
32 H. Sekine D
13 I. Nekic D
26 D. Zec D
40 L. Parduzi D
28 J. Meffert M
11 A. Bernhardsson M
8 G. Balzi M
15 K. Davidsen M
20 A. Kapralik M
19 P. Harres F
Bench (9)
41 L. Rothenhagen
17 F. Alidou
6 M. Ivezic
10 J. Therkelsen
27 I. Ugoh
22 M. Reimers
30 T. Tasdelen
43 T. Wiese
44 M. Richter Monserrat

Coach: Tim Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
🔒
U ✓
3,49
🔒
B
2,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,22
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.