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2. Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Darmstadt
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 55%
67%
42%
Points per game
2,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
58%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 1. · Holstein Kiel 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 12 8 3 1 +10 27
2 Paderborn 12 8 1 3 +20 25
3 Hamburg 12 8 1 3 +7 25
4 Heidenheim 12 5 5 2 +6 20
5 Hannover 12 6 2 4 +5 20
6 Holstein Kiel 12 5 4 3 +0 19
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 5 2 5 +5 17
8 Karlsruhe 12 5 2 5 +4 17
9 Kaiserslautern 12 3 7 2 +0 16
10 Regensburg 12 4 3 5 -5 15
11 Braunschweig 12 4 3 5 -6 15
12 St Pauli 12 3 5 4 +1 14
13 Hansa Rostock 12 4 2 6 -7 14
14 Nurnberg 12 4 1 7 -9 13
15 Sandhausen 12 3 3 6 -5 12
16 Greuther Furth 12 1 7 4 -5 10
17 Magdeburg 12 3 1 8 -12 10
18 Bielefeld 12 2 2 8 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Holstein Kiel
35′
S. Skrzybski 0–1
L. Holtby
37′
ℹ️ Steven Skrzybski
VAR: Goal confirmed
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Finn Dominik Porath
Emir Karić 🟨
55′
59′
🔁 P. Sander
↦ F. Porath
60′
🔁 F. Bartels
↦ S. Skrzybski
F. Ronstadt 🔁
↦ E. Karic
63′
O. Vilhelmsson 🔁
↦ J. Müller
63′
Marvin Mehlem 🟨
67′
Christoph Zimmermann 🟨
71′
72′
🟨 Mikkel Kirkeskov
1–1 M. Bader
B. Manu
72′
Y. Ben Balla 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
75′
75′
🔁 A. Ignjovski
↦ L. Holtby
85′
🔁 M. Obuz
↦ F. Reese
C. Riedel 🔁
↦ P. Tietz
92′
A. Leipold 🔁
↦ T. Kempe
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
5 P. Pfeiffer D
20 J. Müller D
4 C. Zimmermann D
26 M. Bader M
11 T. Kempe M
32 F. Holland M
19 E. Karic M
6 M. Mehlem F
9 P. Tietz F
7 B. Manu F
Bench (9)
17 F. Ronstadt
29 O. Vilhelmsson
28 Y. Ben Balla
36 A. Leipold
38 C. Riedel
16 K. Bennetts
3 T. Isherwood
30 A. Brunst
41 P. Sonn

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Holstein Kiel

3-5-2
21 T. Dähne G
25 M. Schulz D
24 H. Wahl D
19 S. Lorenz D
11 F. Reese M
10 L. Holtby M
4 P. Erras M
27 F. Porath M
2 M. Kirkeskov M
18 K. Okyere Wriedt F
7 S. Skrzybski F
Bench (8)
16 P. Sander
31 F. Bartels
22 A. Ignjovski
30 M. Obuz
26 L. Wolf
1 T. Schreiber
5 S. Thesker
23 J. Korb

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,95
B
4,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.