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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Prigan
Karlsruhe
U S T U T
4–2
Full-time
Regensburg
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,7
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,2
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
40%
13%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
73%
40%
Both score Ø 44%
80%
7%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
1,9
0,3
Conceded
1,9
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
16 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 0
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 9. · Regensburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 15 7 6 2 +6 27
2 Kaiserslautern 15 7 5 3 +8 26
3 Hannover 15 8 2 5 +6 26
4 Elversberg 15 7 4 4 +9 25
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 7 4 4 +8 25
6 FC Koln 15 7 4 4 +6 25
7 Hamburg 15 6 6 3 +11 24
8 Magdeburg 15 6 6 3 +3 24
9 Karlsruhe 15 6 5 4 +0 23
10 Darmstadt 15 5 6 4 +4 21
11 Hertha 15 6 3 6 +1 21
12 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 +2 19
13 Greuther Furth 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 -4 16
15 Braunschweig 15 3 4 8 -16 13
16 Ulm 15 2 6 7 -4 12
17 Preußen Münster 15 2 6 7 -6 12
18 Regensburg 15 2 2 11 -29 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Regensburg
Leon Jensen 🟨
3′
19′
C. Kühlwetter 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 B. Zivzivadze
47′
Budu Zivzivadze
penalty missed
47′
49′
E. Hottmann 1–2
B. Hein
55′
🟨 Rasim Bulić
2–2 M. Wanitzek
56′
L. Pfeiffer 🔁
↦ N. Rapp
57′
59′
🟨 Andreas Geipl
3–2 B. Zivzivadze
L. Pfeiffer
62′
Fabian Schleusener 🟨
68′
Luca Pfeiffer 🟨
74′
76′
🔁 M. Ouro-Tagba
↦ E. Hottmann
76′
🔁 N. Ganaus
↦ E. Huth
R. Heußer 🔁
↦ L. Jensen
78′
Dženis Burnić 🟨
80′
4–2 F. Schleusener
L. Pfeiffer
86′
87′
🔁 D. Kother
↦ A. Geipl
N. Rupp 🔁
↦ S. Jung
90′
R. Pedrosa 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
90′
D. Salz 🔁
↦ B. Zivzivadze
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
1 M. Weiß G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
4 M. Beifus D
20 D. Herold D
7 D. Burnić M
17 N. Rapp M
6 L. Jensen M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
11 B. Zivzivadze F
Bench (9)
16 L. Pfeiffer
5 R. Heußer
8 N. Rupp
36 R. Pedrosa
37 D. Salz
25 L. Egloff
30 R. Himmelmann
39 E. Zengin
35 R. Geller

Coach: C. Eichner

Regensburg

3-5-2
1 F. Gebhardt G
14 R. Ziegele D
5 R. Bulić D
16 L. Breunig D
33 K. Pröger M
30 C. Kühlwetter M
8 A. Geipl M
10 C. Viet M
3 B. Hein M
29 E. Huth F
9 E. Hottmann F
Bench (9)
40 M. Ouro-Tagba
20 N. Ganaus
27 D. Kother
18 N. Anspach
23 J. Pollersbeck
4 F. Ballas
21 T. Eisenhuth
25 J. Bauer
13 A. Bittroff

Coach: A. Patz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,45
B
5,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Prigan · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.