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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Bacher

Elversberg

T T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 40%

43%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

57%

64%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 6. · Nurnberg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	14	7	6	1	+8	27
2	Hamburg	14	6	5	3	+11	23
3	Kaiserslautern	14	6	5	3	+6	23
4	Hannover	14	7	2	5	+5	23
5	Karlsruhe	14	6	5	3	+2	23
6	Elversberg	14	6	4	4	+8	22
7	FC Koln	14	6	4	4	+5	22
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	6	4	4	+3	22
9	Hertha	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Magdeburg	14	5	6	3	+2	21
11	Darmstadt	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	+3	19
13	Greuther Furth	14	3	5	6	-6	14
14	Schalke 04	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Braunschweig	14	3	4	7	-11	13
16	Ulm	14	2	6	6	-3	12
17	Preußen Münster	14	2	6	6	-5	12
18	Regensburg	14	2	2	10	-28	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	7	6	0	1	+8	18
2	Paderborn	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Hamburg	7	3	4	0	+10	13
4	Elversberg	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	+5	11
6	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Karlsruhe	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Darmstadt	8	2	4	2	+3	10
10	Kaiserslautern	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Hertha	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Regensburg	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Ulm	7	1	2	4	-2	5
17	Magdeburg	7	0	5	2	-5	5
18	Greuther Furth	7	1	2	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Magdeburg	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Paderborn	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Karlsruhe	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+0	11
8	Darmstadt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Hamburg	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
13	Ulm	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Regensburg	7	0	1	6	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.