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2. Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Karlsruhe

U S T T U

4–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

23%

46%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

62%

69%

Both score Ø 70%

62%

77%

Average goals

3,2

3,4

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 15. · Nurnberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	8	6	0	+16	30
2	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	3	4	+11	24
4	Elversberg	14	7	3	4	+3	24
5	Hannover	14	6	5	3	+11	23
6	Holstein Kiel	13	7	2	4	+2	23
7	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	Wehen	13	6	3	4	+2	21
9	Nurnberg	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Hertha	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Kaiserslautern	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Paderborn	14	5	3	6	-5	18
13	Magdeburg	14	4	4	6	+0	16
14	Hansa Rostock	14	5	1	8	-6	16
15	Karlsruhe	13	3	4	6	-4	13
16	Schalke 04	14	4	1	9	-10	13
17	Braunschweig	14	2	2	10	-17	8
18	Osnabruck	14	1	4	9	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Greuther Furth	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+11	15
4	Hannover	7	4	2	1	+11	14
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Wehen	7	3	3	1	+1	12
8	Nurnberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Hertha	6	3	1	2	+8	10
10	Holstein Kiel	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Hansa Rostock	8	3	1	4	-2	10
13	Schalke 04	6	3	0	3	+1	9
14	Magdeburg	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Paderborn	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
17	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-4	8
18	Osnabruck	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	7	4	3	0	+5	15
2	Elversberg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Holstein Kiel	6	4	1	1	+3	13
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	1	2	+8	10
5	Nurnberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
6	Paderborn	8	3	1	4	-5	10
7	Wehen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
8	Hannover	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Magdeburg	8	2	2	4	-1	8
10	Hertha	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Hamburg	7	1	3	3	-3	6
12	Hansa Rostock	6	2	0	4	-4	6
13	Karlsruhe	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Kaiserslautern	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Schalke 04	8	1	1	6	-11	4
17	Osnabruck	6	0	2	4	-13	2
18	Braunschweig	7	0	0	7	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.