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2. Bundesliga

Referee: L Erbst

Nurnberg

S T U U T

2–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

62%

38%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 12. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	14	7	6	1	+8	27
2	Kaiserslautern	14	6	5	3	+6	23
3	Hannover	14	7	2	5	+5	23
4	Karlsruhe	13	6	5	2	+4	23
5	Elversberg	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	FC Koln	14	6	4	4	+5	22
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Hertha	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Magdeburg	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Hamburg	13	5	5	3	+9	20
11	Darmstadt	14	5	5	4	+4	20
12	Nurnberg	13	5	3	5	+3	18
13	Schalke 04	14	3	4	7	-6	13
14	Greuther Furth	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Braunschweig	14	3	4	7	-11	13
16	Preußen Münster	14	2	6	6	-5	12
17	Ulm	13	2	5	6	-3	11
18	Regensburg	14	2	2	10	-28	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	7	6	0	1	+8	18
2	Paderborn	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Hamburg	7	3	4	0	+10	13
4	Elversberg	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	+5	11
6	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Karlsruhe	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Darmstadt	8	2	4	2	+3	10
9	Nurnberg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Kaiserslautern	6	2	3	1	+3	9
11	Schalke 04	7	2	1	4	-2	7
12	Hertha	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Regensburg	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-2	6
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Magdeburg	7	0	5	2	-5	5
17	Greuther Furth	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Ulm	6	1	1	4	-2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Kaiserslautern	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Paderborn	8	3	4	1	+1	13
6	Karlsruhe	7	3	3	1	+2	12
7	FC Koln	6	3	2	1	+0	11
8	Darmstadt	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Greuther Furth	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Hamburg	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Ulm	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Preußen Münster	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Schalke 04	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Regensburg	7	0	1	6	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.