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2. Bundesliga

Referee: R Braun

FC Koln

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Nurnberg

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Nurnberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

47%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Koln 8. · Nurnberg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	16	7	7	2	+6	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	7	5	4	+8	26
3	Hannover	15	8	2	5	+6	26
4	Kaiserslautern	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Karlsruhe	16	7	5	4	+2	26
6	Hamburg	16	6	7	3	+11	25
7	Elversberg	15	7	4	4	+9	25
8	FC Koln	15	7	4	4	+6	25
9	Magdeburg	16	6	7	3	+3	25
10	Darmstadt	16	6	6	4	+8	24
11	Hertha	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	+2	19
13	Schalke 04	16	4	5	7	-4	17
14	Greuther Furth	15	4	5	6	-5	17
15	Preußen Münster	16	3	6	7	-5	15
16	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-4	13
17	Braunschweig	15	3	4	8	-16	13
18	Regensburg	16	2	2	12	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Elversberg	8	5	1	2	+6	16
3	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+10	14
4	Paderborn	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
7	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	FC Koln	8	3	2	3	+5	11
9	Braunschweig	7	3	2	2	+3	11
10	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	2	3	3	+0	9
12	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Greuther Furth	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
15	Regensburg	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6
17	Preußen Münster	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Magdeburg	8	0	6	2	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	FC Koln	7	4	2	1	+1	14
6	Kaiserslautern	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Elversberg	7	2	3	2	+3	9
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Nurnberg	8	2	2	4	+0	8
15	Ulm	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Hannover	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Braunschweig	8	0	2	6	-19	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.