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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Holstein Kiel
T T S U S
0–2
Full-time
Nurnberg
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Nurnberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 75%
70%
80%
Average goals
3,4
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 21
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 4. · Nurnberg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 11 6 5 0 +13 23
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 3 2 +12 21
3 Hamburg 11 6 3 2 +9 21
4 Holstein Kiel 10 6 1 3 +2 19
5 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +9 18
6 Kaiserslautern 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Hertha 11 5 0 6 +2 15
8 Greuther Furth 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Elversberg 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Paderborn 11 4 3 4 -3 15
11 Nurnberg 10 4 3 3 -3 15
12 Magdeburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
13 Karlsruhe 11 3 3 5 -1 12
14 Wehen 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Hansa Rostock 10 4 0 6 -5 12
16 Schalke 04 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Osnabruck 11 1 3 7 -16 6
18 Braunschweig 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holstein Kiel Nurnberg
33′
🟨 Kanji Okunuki
Half-time 0–0
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson 🟨
59′
S. Skrzybski 🔁
↦ J. Arp
62′
B. Pichler 🔁
↦ H. Friðjónsson
62′
68′
T. Handwerker 0–1
K. Okunuki
71′
🟨 Florian Flick
B. Simakala 🔁
↦ M. Schulz
72′
77′
C. Uzun 0–2
L. Schleimer
Philipp Sander 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Jens Castrop
F. Porath 🔁
↦ N. Remberg
80′
J. Sterner 🔁
↦ C. Kleine-Bekel
80′
80′
🔁 F. Lohkemper
↦ L. Schleimer
86′
🔁 M. Møller Dæhli
↦ C. Uzun
91′
🔁 E. Wekesser
↦ K. Okunuki
95′
🟨 Mats Møller Dæhli
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

4-3-1-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
3 M. Komenda D
18 T. Rothe D
22 N. Remberg M
15 M. Schulz M
16 P. Sander M
10 L. Holtby M
20 J. Arp F
19 H. Friðjónsson F
Bench (9)
7 S. Skrzybski
9 B. Pichler
11 B. Simakala
8 F. Porath
32 J. Sterner
6 M. Ivezić
13 S. Machino
23 L. Rosenboom
31 M. Engelhardt

Coach: M. Rapp

Nurnberg

4-3-3
26 C. Mathenia G
22 E. Valentini D
3 A. Gürleyen D
38 J. Horn D
29 T. Handwerker D
17 J. Castrop M
6 F. Flick M
36 L. Schleimer M
14 B. Goller F
42 C. Uzun F
11 K. Okunuki F
Bench (9)
7 F. Lohkemper
10 M. Møller Dæhli
13 E. Wekesser
8 T. Duman
44 F. Jeltsch
1 C. Klaus
19 F. Hübner
9 D. Hayashi
33 C. Daferner

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,77
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.