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Eliteserien

Referee: J Tennøy

Sarpsborg 08

T S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Stabaek

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 34%

44%

24%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

72%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

68%

48%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,56 xG 0,55

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Stabaek 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	25	18	4	3	+33	+17.1	58
2	Viking	25	16	4	5	+16	+3.5	52
3	Brann	25	16	3	6	+18	+1.0	51
4	Tromso	25	16	3	6	+11	+8.7	51
5	Molde	25	13	5	7	+25	+12.8	44
6	Lillestrom	25	12	3	10	+6	+6.9	39
7	Sarpsborg 08	25	11	4	10	+7	+2.8	37
8	Odd	25	8	7	10	-5	-5.6	31
9	Stromsgodset	25	9	3	13	-4	-3.9	30
10	Haugesund	26	8	6	12	-5	-2.8	30
11	Rosenborg	25	8	6	11	-9	-3.6	30
12	Ham-Kam	25	8	3	14	-20	-12.0	27
13	Valerenga	25	6	6	13	-10	-4.9	24
14	Stabaek	25	6	6	13	-12	-4.1	24
15	Sandefjord	25	5	6	14	-12	-13.0	21
16	Aalesund	26	5	3	18	-39	-3.0	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	13	10	2	1	+17	+0.4	32
2	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	2	1	+18	+6.8	29
3	Viking	13	9	2	2	+14	+2.6	29
4	Molde	12	8	2	2	+20	+7.2	26
5	Tromso	13	8	2	3	+8	+6.9	26
6	Lillestrom	13	8	0	5	+10	+4.8	24
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	7	1	4	+12	+0.7	22
8	Rosenborg	13	6	3	4	+4	+3.3	21
9	Haugesund	13	6	2	5	+3	-3.3	20
10	Stromsgodset	12	6	1	5	+4	+0.6	19
11	Odd	12	5	4	3	+3	-0.0	19
12	Stabaek	13	5	3	5	+4	-3.4	18
13	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-2	-7.0	18
14	Sandefjord	12	4	4	4	+7	-6.6	16
15	Aalesund	13	4	3	6	-7	+4.2	15
16	Valerenga	12	2	2	8	-8	+0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	+15	+10.3	29
2	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+3	+1.8	25
3	Viking	12	7	2	3	+2	+0.9	23
4	Brann	12	6	1	5	+1	+0.7	19
5	Molde	13	5	3	5	+5	+5.5	18
6	Valerenga	13	4	4	5	-2	-5.4	16
7	Lillestrom	12	4	3	5	-4	+2.1	15
8	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	3	6	-5	+2.1	15
9	Odd	13	3	3	7	-8	-5.5	12
10	Stromsgodset	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.5	11
11	Haugesund	13	2	4	7	-8	+0.5	10
12	Rosenborg	12	2	3	7	-13	-6.9	9
13	Ham-Kam	12	3	0	9	-18	-5.1	9
14	Stabaek	12	1	3	8	-16	-0.7	6
15	Sandefjord	13	1	2	10	-19	-6.4	5
16	Aalesund	13	1	0	12	-32	-7.2	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.