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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Palermo

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

Lecco

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Lecco

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Serie B · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 40%

67%

13%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%

26 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 3. · Lecco 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Catanzaro	11	6	3	2	+4	21
3	Palermo	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Venezia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Como	10	5	2	3	+1	17
6	Sudtirol	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Modena	10	4	4	2	+1	16
9	Cosenza	11	4	3	4	+3	15
10	Reggiana	11	3	5	3	-1	14
11	Brescia	8	3	4	1	+3	13
12	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Ascoli	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Bari	10	1	8	1	+0	11
16	Sampdoria	11	2	3	6	-5	9
17	Spezia	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Ternana	10	1	3	6	-4	6
19	FeralpiSalo	11	1	2	8	-17	5
20	Lecco	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
5	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-2	8
7	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
8	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Ascoli	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Brescia	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Reggiana	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
15	Pisa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Spezia	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	FeralpiSalo	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Parma	5	4	0	1	+8	12
4	Catanzaro	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Modena	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
12	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Sampdoria	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Lecco	4	1	1	2	-3	4
19	FeralpiSalo	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.