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Super League

Referee: F San

Lausanne

U T T S U

3–0

Full-time

Basel

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 14%

18%

10%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

82%

80%

Both score Ø 81%

91%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,86 xG 0,47

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 11. · Basel 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	12	6	6	0	+13	+0.1	24
2	Young Boys	10	6	3	1	+11	+1.0	21
3	St. Gallen	12	6	3	3	+7	+4.7	21
4	Luzern	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.0	18
5	Winterthur	12	4	4	4	-1	+0.4	16
6	Servette	11	4	4	3	-1	+2.0	16
7	Yverdon	12	4	4	4	-5	-5.1	16
8	Lugano	10	5	0	5	+2	+3.0	15
9	Grasshoppers	12	3	2	7	-4	-1.7	11
10	Lausanne Ouchy	11	2	4	5	-8	-1.8	10
11	Lausanne	11	2	3	6	-5	+0.0	9
12	Basel	10	1	2	7	-9	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	6	0	0	+10	+2.4	18
2	Zurich	6	4	2	0	+7	-0.7	14
3	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+10	+1.4	13
4	Luzern	6	4	1	1	+2	+0.4	13
5	Winterthur	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.4	11
6	Yverdon	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.1	11
7	Lugano	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.3	9
8	Grasshoppers	6	2	1	3	-1	-2.1	7
9	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
10	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	3	2	-5	+0.8	6
11	Basel	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5
12	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
2	Servette	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.2	10
3	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
4	Lugano	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.7	6
5	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
6	Winterthur	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.0	5
7	Yverdon	6	1	2	3	-7	-5.2	5
8	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.1	4
9	Grasshoppers	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.4	4
10	Lausanne Ouchy	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.6	4
11	St. Gallen	6	0	3	3	-3	+2.3	3
12	Basel	4	0	0	4	-7	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.