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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Arys

Legia

T T T T S

1–3

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 40%

55%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

64%

42%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,52 xG 0,39

69% Possession 31%

25 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Legia 6. · Stal Mielec 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	13	8	3	2	+12	+4.1	27
2	Jagiellonia	13	8	2	3	+11	+6.2	26
3	Lech Poznan	13	7	4	2	+7	-3.4	25
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	1	5	+10	+8.1	22
5	Rakow	11	7	1	3	+9	+5.6	22
6	Legia	11	6	2	3	+4	-0.1	20
7	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-2	-0.9	20
8	Radomiak Radom	13	5	3	5	+0	+0.5	18
9	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	4	5	-2	-6.8	16
10	Piast Gliwice	13	2	9	2	+0	+10.6	15
11	Cracovia	12	3	6	3	-4	-0.2	15
12	Korona Kielce	12	3	5	4	+0	-0.9	14
13	Warta Poznan	13	3	5	5	-1	-1.2	14
14	Widzew Lodz	11	4	2	5	-2	-3.3	14
15	Stal Mielec	12	3	3	6	-1	-3.9	12
16	Puszcza	13	2	4	7	-12	-8.2	10
17	Ruch Chorzow	12	1	5	6	-9	-3.1	8
18	LKS Lodz	13	2	1	10	-20	-3.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	6	6	0	0	+13	+8.1	18
2	Lech Poznan	7	5	2	0	+11	+0.7	17
3	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+11	+5.1	16
4	Legia	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.1	15
5	Zaglebie	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.3	14
6	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+7	+4.6	13
7	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	0	3	+4	+9.8	12
8	Widzew Lodz	5	4	0	1	+3	+1.9	12
9	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+4	+0.3	11
10	Korona Kielce	6	2	3	1	+3	+4.8	9
11	Radomiak Radom	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.5	9
12	Piast Gliwice	6	2	3	1	+1	+7.6	9
13	Puszcza	6	2	3	1	+0	-0.7	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.9	8
15	LKS Lodz	6	2	1	3	-7	-2.2	7
16	Warta Poznan	7	1	3	3	-2	-0.3	6
17	Cracovia	6	1	3	2	-5	-1.0	6
18	Ruch Chorzow	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	7	4	2	1	+5	-0.5	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	1	2	+6	-1.7	10
3	Cracovia	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.8	9
4	Radomiak Radom	7	3	0	4	-3	-1.0	9
5	Warta Poznan	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.8	8
6	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.0	8
7	Jagiellonia	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.9	8
8	Lech Poznan	6	2	2	2	-4	-4.1	8
9	Piast Gliwice	7	0	6	1	-1	+3.0	6
10	Rakow	5	2	0	3	-2	+0.5	6
11	Zaglebie	6	2	0	4	-5	-3.2	6
12	Korona Kielce	6	1	2	3	-3	-5.6	5
13	Legia	5	1	2	2	-5	-3.2	5
14	Ruch Chorzow	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.3	3
15	Widzew Lodz	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.2	2
16	Stal Mielec	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.3	1
17	Puszcza	7	0	1	6	-12	-7.5	1
18	LKS Lodz	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.