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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

U S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

33%

52%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

47%

44%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

59%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 13. · Holstein Kiel 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	31	19	3	9	+21	60
2	Greuther Furth	30	15	9	6	+21	54
3	Hamburg	30	14	9	7	+21	51
4	Holstein Kiel	27	14	7	6	+16	49
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	14	7	9	+6	49
6	Heidenheim	31	14	6	11	+4	48
7	St Pauli	31	13	8	10	+3	47
8	Karlsruhe	29	12	8	9	+6	44
9	Paderborn	31	11	10	10	+5	43
10	Darmstadt	31	12	6	13	+2	42
11	Erzgebirge Aue	31	11	8	12	-2	41
12	Hannover	30	11	6	13	+4	39
13	Nurnberg	30	10	9	11	-3	39
14	Regensburg	30	8	11	11	-9	35
15	Sandhausen	29	9	4	16	-15	31
16	Braunschweig	31	7	9	15	-24	30
17	Osnabruck	31	7	6	18	-25	27
18	Wurzburger Kickers	31	5	6	20	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	15	10	2	3	+18	32
2	Heidenheim	15	9	3	3	+12	30
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	Paderborn	16	8	5	3	+8	29
5	Sandhausen	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+17	27
7	St Pauli	16	8	3	5	+4	27
8	Hannover	15	7	4	4	+10	25
9	Erzgebirge Aue	15	7	4	4	+5	25
10	Greuther Furth	14	7	3	4	+9	24
11	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Darmstadt	16	6	3	7	+2	21
14	Regensburg	16	5	6	5	-1	21
15	Nurnberg	15	5	5	5	-1	20
16	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	+0	18
17	Wurzburger Kickers	15	3	5	7	-9	14
18	Osnabruck	16	2	1	13	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	16	8	6	2	+12	30
2	Bochum	16	9	1	6	+3	28
3	Holstein Kiel	15	7	5	3	+11	26
4	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
5	Hamburg	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Darmstadt	15	6	3	6	+0	21
7	St Pauli	15	5	5	5	-1	20
8	Osnabruck	15	5	5	5	-6	20
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	5	4	7	-2	19
10	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Heidenheim	16	5	3	8	-8	18
12	Erzgebirge Aue	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Paderborn	15	3	5	7	-3	14
14	Hannover	15	4	2	9	-6	14
15	Regensburg	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Braunschweig	15	1	5	9	-19	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	1	13	-22	7
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.