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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Oviedo
S S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
42%
Average goals
1,3
2,6
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 17. · Alcorcon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 12 8 1 3 +14 25
2 Eibar 13 8 1 4 +8 25
3 Sp Gijon 13 7 3 3 +7 24
4 Espanol 13 7 2 4 +8 23
5 Levante 13 6 5 2 +4 23
6 Tenerife 13 7 2 4 +4 23
7 Valladolid 13 7 1 5 +0 22
8 Santander 12 6 3 3 +6 21
9 Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 +4 20
10 Elche 13 5 4 4 -3 19
11 Mirandes 13 5 2 6 -1 17
12 Ferrol 12 4 5 3 -1 17
13 Burgos 12 5 1 6 -2 16
14 Eldense 13 4 4 5 -4 16
15 Andorra 13 5 1 7 -4 16
16 Albacete 13 4 3 6 -6 15
17 Oviedo 12 3 5 4 +2 14
18 Villarreal B 12 3 4 5 -2 13
19 Amorebieta 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Alcorcon 12 2 4 6 -9 10
21 Huesca 13 1 6 6 -6 9
22 Cartagena 13 1 3 9 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oviedo Alcorcon
Santi Cazorla 🟨
6′
40′
🟨 Xavier Quintilla
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Jaime Seoane
48′
60′
🟨 Alejandro López
Camarasa 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
61′
65′
🔁 Jacobo González
↦ Álex López
Masca 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
70′
Alemão 🔁
↦ Borja Bastón
70′
71′
🔁 Javi Lara
↦ Óscar Rivas
71′
🔁 Koldo Obieta
↦ Xavi Quintillà
72′
🟨 Jacobo González
78′
🟨 Pedro Mosquera
Mario Sesè 🔁
↦ Viti Rozada
88′
Jimmy 🔁
↦ Jaime Seoane
88′
88′
🔁 Chema Rodríguez
↦ Pedro Mosquera
88′
🔁 Juan Artola
↦ Chiki
89′
🟨 Chema
2–0 Camarasa
S. Colombatto
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oviedo

4-2-3-1
31 Leo Román G
15 Oier Luengo D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
23 Abel Bretones D
8 Santi Cazorla M
11 S. Colombatto M
7 Viti Rozada M
16 Jaime Seoane M
17 Sebas Moyano M
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (10)
10 Camarasa
20 Masca
14 Alemão
28 Mario Sesè
6 Jimmy
32 Álex Cardero
21 Carlos Pomares
34 Yayo
24 Lucas Ahijado
1 Q. Braat

Coach: Vallori

Alcorcon

4-1-4-1
1 Jesús Ruiz G
20 Iago López D
6 J. Babin D
2 Javi Castro D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
4 Óscar Rivas M
17 Víctor García M
14 Álex López M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
26 E. Addai M
9 Chiki F
Bench (8)
8 Jacobo González
15 Javi Lara
21 Koldo Obieta
23 Chema Rodríguez
22 Juan Artola
30 Iñigo García
13 Lucas Anacker
29 Èric Callis

Coach: Fran Fernández

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,17
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,62
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.