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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Kaiserslautern

T T T T S

3–2

Full-time

Elversberg

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 19%

17%

20%

Points per game

0,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

83%

60%

Both score Ø 47%

33%

60%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

20 Shots 21

8 Shots on target 9

6 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kaiserslautern 18. · Elversberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hansa Rostock	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Hannover	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Kaiserslautern	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Karlsruhe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Paderborn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wehen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wehen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Elversberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Osnabruck	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Magdeburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.