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DFB-Pokal
Referee: L Erbst
Illertissen
T
1–3
Full-time
Fortuna Dusseldorf
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Illertissen Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
25 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
28 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
29 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
30 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
31 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
32 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
33 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
34 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Illertissen Fortuna Dusseldorf
3′
⚽ K. Frisorger 1–0
own goal
Maximilian Neuberger 🟨
22′
27′
⚽ V. Vermeij 1–1
F. Klaus
2–1 K. Frisorger ⚽
G. Kılıç
41′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Andre Hoffmann
46′
🟨 Vincent Vermeij
59′
🔁 M. Sobottka
↦ Y. Engelhardt
59′
🔁 C. Tzolis
↦ F. Klaus
Felix Thiel 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ E. Iyoha
72′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ V. Vermeij
D. Held 🔁
↦ M. Zeller
74′
D. Gabriele 🔁
↦ N. Jeck
77′
80′
🔁 T. Uchino
↦ M. Zimmermann
H. Pöschl 🔁
↦ M. Pudić
85′
91′
⚽ C. Tzolis 2–2
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Illertissen

3-4-3
1 F. Thiel G
38 M. Neuberger D
13 K. Frisorger D
22 N. Jeck D
3 L. Omore M
6 M. Pudić M
2 M. Zeller M
19 N. Fundel M
20 G. Kılıç F
7 Y. Glessing F
25 M. Mannhardt F
Bench (9)
17 D. Held
10 D. Gabriele
23 H. Pöschl
5 E. Herzig
12 M. Strobel
16 F. Helmer
11 N. Watanabe
28 O. Preil
9 F. Kircicek

Coach: H. Bachthaler

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
20 J. Siebert D
34 N. Gavory D
6 Y. Engelhardt M
4 A. Tanaka M
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
19 E. Iyoha M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
31 M. Sobottka
7 C. Tzolis
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
10 D. Ginczek
2 T. Uchino
18 J. Niemiec
22 B. Böckle
1 K. Niemczycki
30 J. de Wijs

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.