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Championship
Referee: J Brooks
Bristol City
S S U T S
0–1
Full-time
Birmingham
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Championship · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
53%
20%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
33%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 5. · Birmingham 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 16 8 6 2 +13 30
2 Reading 16 9 3 4 +7 30
3 Norwich 15 8 4 3 +5 28
4 Watford 15 7 6 2 +8 27
5 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Brentford 14 7 4 3 +9 25
7 Swansea 14 7 4 3 +7 25
8 Stoke 15 7 4 4 +4 25
9 Blackburn 15 7 3 5 +12 24
10 Middlesbrough 15 6 6 3 +6 24
11 Luton 15 6 4 5 -4 22
12 Cardiff 15 5 5 5 +7 20
13 Millwall 15 4 8 3 +1 20
14 Preston 15 6 1 8 -3 19
15 Barnsley 16 5 4 7 -4 19
16 Huddersfield 15 5 3 7 -4 18
17 QPR 15 4 5 6 -5 17
18 Birmingham 15 3 7 5 -3 16
19 Sheffield Weds 15 3 6 6 -5 15
20 Coventry 15 3 5 7 -10 14
21 Rotherham 15 3 4 8 -6 13
22 Nott'm Forest 16 3 4 9 -10 13
23 Wycombe 15 2 4 9 -14 10
24 Derby 15 1 5 9 -15 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Birmingham
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 Maxime Colin
60′
🟨 Jon Toral
T. Bakinson 🔁
↦ C. Brunt
64′
72′
🔁 A. Halilović
↦ Jon Toral
J. Hunt 🔁
↦ A. Mariappa
78′
F. Diedhiou 🔁
↦ C. Martin
78′
80′
H. Dean 0–1
Jérémie Bela
82′
🔁 L. Jutkiewicz
↦ S. Hogan
83′
🟨 Jérémie Bela
S. Bell 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
87′
J. Dasilva 🔁
↦ T. Rowe
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-3-3
1 D. Bentley G
19 A. Mariappa D
22 T. Kalas D
26 Z. Vyner D
29 C. Brunt M
25 T. Rowe D
11 C. O'Dowda M
4 Á. Nagy M
7 C. Martin F
21 N. Wells F
18 A. Semenyo F
Bench (9)
30 T. Bakinson
2 J. Hunt
9 F. Diedhiou
33 S. Bell
3 J. Dasilva
27 O. Edwards
23 T. Moore
12 M. O’Leary
42 H. Massengo

Coach: D. Holden

Birmingham

4-2-3-1
30 N. Etheridge G
5 G. Friend D
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
17 Iván Sánchez M
11 Jérémie Bela M
23 Jon Toral M
34 I. Šunjić M
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (9)
35 A. Halilović
10 L. Jutkiewicz
20 G. Gardner
25 J. Cogley
1 Andrés Prieto
19 San José
3 K. Pedersen
15 J. Clarke-Salter
14 J. Leko

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,22
B ✓
3,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brooks · 175 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.