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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Birmingham
U S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Bristol City
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 9. · Bristol City 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Bristol City
Ivan Šunjić 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 J. Hunt
↦ Pedro Pereira
58′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
63′
🟨 Jack Hunt
63′
🟨 Nathan Baker
1–0 L. Jutkiewicz
M. Roberts
64′
W. Harding 🔁
↦ D. Crowley
66′
72′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ B. Wright
72′
🔁 F. Diedhiou
↦ A. Weimann
David Davis 🟨
81′
83′
T. Rowe 1–1
K. Palmer
Agus Medina 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Birmingham

5-4-1
1 L. Camp G
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
26 D. Davis M
20 G. Gardner M
7 D. Crowley M
34 I. Šunjić M
17 Fran Villalba
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
2 W. Harding
21 Agus Medina
8 C. Gardner
24 Álvaro Giménez
37 O. Bailey
13 D. Stockdale
14 J. Clarke-Salter

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Bristol City

3-4-2-1
1 D. Bentley
6 N. Baker D
5 B. Wright D
22 T. Kalas D
32 Pedro Pereira M
25 T. Rowe M
45 K. Palmer F
8 J. Brownhill M
4 Á. Nagy M
14 A. Weimann F
40 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
2 J. Hunt
19 N. Eliasson
9 F. Diedhiou
17 S. Szmodics
13 R. Gilmartin
42 H. Massengo
18 A. Semenyo

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,18
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.