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Championship
Referee: S Hooper
Bristol City
T T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Bournemouth
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 33/32 matches
Win Ø 43%
42%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 12. · Bournemouth 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 34 22 7 5 +23 73
2 Watford 34 18 9 7 +21 63
3 Brentford 32 17 8 7 +24 59
4 Reading 34 17 6 11 +9 57
5 Barnsley 31 16 6 9 +8 54
6 Cardiff 34 15 8 11 +18 53
7 Bournemouth 32 14 10 8 +16 52
8 Swansea 28 15 7 6 +13 52
9 Middlesbrough 34 14 8 12 +4 50
10 Millwall 34 10 16 8 +3 46
11 Stoke 33 11 12 10 +1 45
12 Bristol City 33 14 3 16 -9 45
13 Luton 33 12 8 13 -9 44
14 Preston 34 13 4 17 -6 43
15 Blackburn 33 11 7 15 +7 40
16 Nott'm Forest 34 10 10 14 -5 40
17 QPR 32 10 10 12 -7 40
18 Derby 33 10 8 15 -12 38
19 Huddersfield 34 10 7 17 -12 37
20 Coventry 34 8 11 15 -15 35
21 Birmingham 34 8 11 15 -16 35
22 Sheffield Weds 32 9 7 16 -15 34
23 Rotherham 31 8 5 18 -9 29
24 Wycombe 33 5 8 20 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Bournemouth
1–0 T. Bakinson
J. Hunt
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
J. Stanislas 1–1
A. Smith
H. Lansbury 🔁
↦ J. Hunt
50′
70′
🟨 Lloyd Kelly
71′
🔁 P. Billing
↦ B. Pearson
75′
🔁 S. Long
↦ L. Cook
A. Semenyo 🔁
↦ K. Palmer
78′
88′
C. Carter-Vickers 1–2
P. Billing
H. Massengo 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
89′
89′
🔁 J. Stacey
↦ J. Stanislas
90′
🔁 Diego Rico
↦ A. Groeneveld
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-1-4-1
1 D. Bentley G
19 A. Mariappa D
2 J. Hunt D
22 T. Kalas D
26 Z. Vyner M
43 S. Sessegnon D
45 K. Palmer M
4 Á. Nagy M
30 T. Bakinson M
21 N. Wells M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (9)
17 H. Lansbury
18 A. Semenyo
42 H. Massengo
33 S. Bell
28 S. Pearson
37 T. Conway
34 R. Towler
23 T. Moore
12 M. O’Leary

Coach: N. Pearson

Bournemouth

4-3-3
1 A. Begović G
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
18 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Kelly D
19 J. Stanislas F
22 B. Pearson M
8 J. Lerma M
16 L. Cook M
9 D. Solanke F
10 A. Groeneveld F
Bench (9)
29 P. Billing
12 S. Long
17 J. Stacey
21 Diego Rico
32 J. Anthony
20 Rodrigo Riquelme
6 C. Mepham
38 C. Saydee
23 M. Travers

Coach: J. Woodgate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,14
U
3,47
B ✓
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.