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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Barnsley

S S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Brentford

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Brentford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Championship · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 35%

33%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

42%

45%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

3 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 12

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barnsley 14. · Brentford 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	13	8	3	2	+7	27
2	Bournemouth	12	6	5	1	+8	23
3	Bristol City	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Watford	12	6	4	2	+5	22
5	Reading	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Swansea	11	6	3	2	+7	21
7	Stoke	13	6	3	4	+3	21
8	Luton	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Middlesbrough	12	4	6	2	+3	18
10	Millwall	12	4	6	2	+2	18
11	QPR	13	4	5	4	-3	17
12	Brentford	11	4	4	3	+5	16
13	Preston	12	5	1	6	+2	16
14	Barnsley	12	4	4	4	+1	16
15	Blackburn	12	4	3	5	+7	15
16	Huddersfield	13	4	3	6	-2	15
17	Birmingham	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Cardiff	12	3	5	4	+1	14
19	Rotherham	13	3	3	7	-4	12
20	Nott'm Forest	12	3	3	6	-5	12
21	Sheffield Weds	12	3	3	6	-5	12
22	Coventry	12	2	3	7	-11	9
23	Wycombe	13	2	3	8	-13	9
24	Derby	12	1	3	8	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Bournemouth	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Swansea	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	QPR	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Reading	6	4	0	2	+1	12
6	Barnsley	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Middlesbrough	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Norwich	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Stoke	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Luton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Blackburn	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Brentford	5	2	2	1	+3	8
14	Nott'm Forest	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Coventry	6	2	2	2	-4	8
16	Rotherham	6	2	1	3	+1	7
17	Millwall	6	1	4	1	-1	7
18	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	-1	7
19	Birmingham	6	2	1	3	-2	7
20	Sheffield Weds	6	1	3	2	-1	6
21	Wycombe	7	1	3	3	-3	6
22	Cardiff	6	1	2	3	-1	5
23	Preston	6	1	0	5	-5	3
24	Derby	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Preston	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Bristol City	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Millwall	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Stoke	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Reading	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Luton	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Bournemouth	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Cardiff	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Brentford	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Swansea	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Birmingham	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Huddersfield	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Blackburn	6	2	1	3	+3	7
15	Middlesbrough	6	1	4	1	+0	7
16	Watford	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Sheffield Weds	6	2	0	4	-4	6
18	Derby	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Barnsley	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	QPR	6	1	2	3	-5	5
21	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-5	5
22	Nott'm Forest	6	1	1	4	-5	4
23	Wycombe	6	1	0	5	-10	3
24	Coventry	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.