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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Cardiff

S U U U T

3–0

Full-time

Barnsley

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

22%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 4

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cardiff 18. · Barnsley 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Norwich	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Bournemouth	10	4	5	1	+4	17
5	Bristol City	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Middlesbrough	9	4	4	1	+4	16
7	Millwall	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Watford	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Stoke	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Brentford	9	4	2	3	+5	14
11	Birmingham	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Huddersfield	10	4	1	5	-1	13
13	Luton	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Sheffield Weds	10	3	2	5	-4	11
15	Blackburn	9	3	1	5	+5	10
16	Barnsley	9	2	4	3	+0	10
17	Preston	9	3	1	5	-1	10
18	Cardiff	9	2	4	3	-1	10
19	QPR	9	2	4	3	-3	10
20	Rotherham	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Coventry	9	2	2	5	-9	8
22	Nott'm Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	-8	6
24	Wycombe	9	1	1	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Swansea	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Watford	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Barnsley	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	QPR	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Norwich	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Stoke	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Brentford	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Luton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Coventry	5	2	1	2	-4	7
15	Millwall	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Huddersfield	5	2	0	3	-1	6
17	Sheffield Weds	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Blackburn	4	1	1	2	+2	4
19	Rotherham	4	1	1	2	+1	4
20	Wycombe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-3	2
23	Derby	4	0	1	3	-7	1
24	Preston	5	0	0	5	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Reading	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Bristol City	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Norwich	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Millwall	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Cardiff	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Brentford	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Stoke	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	+3	6
12	Bournemouth	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Birmingham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Luton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Sheffield Weds	5	2	0	3	-3	6
16	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Derby	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Watford	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Rotherham	5	1	2	2	-3	5
20	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Barnsley	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	QPR	4	0	2	2	-4	2
23	Coventry	4	0	1	3	-5	1
24	Wycombe	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.