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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Fredrikstad

T U T T U

4–2

Full-time

Molde

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

38%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

31%

62%

Both score Ø 35%

31%

38%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,61 xG 1,02

43% Possession 57%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 8. · Molde 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	11	3	1	+22	+16.5	36
2	Brann	14	8	3	3	+3	+13.4	27
3	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+6	+2.2	25
4	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	2	3	+16	+14.1	23
5	Rosenborg	14	6	5	3	+1	+6.1	23
6	Sandefjord	13	7	0	6	+4	-4.0	21
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	5	5	2	+9	+5.7	20
8	Fredrikstad	13	5	3	5	+1	-2.1	18
9	Kristiansund	14	5	3	6	-2	-7.2	18
10	Valerenga	13	4	3	6	-2	-1.0	15
11	Bryne	12	4	3	5	-3	-0.8	15
12	Molde	13	4	2	7	-2	-1.2	14
13	Ham-Kam	12	3	4	5	-9	-7.1	13
14	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	-3	-0.2	12
15	Stromsgodset	12	2	0	10	-12	-11.4	6
16	Haugesund	13	0	2	11	-29	-22.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	6	2	0	+14	+10.8	20
2	Sandefjord	6	6	0	0	+13	+4.6	18
3	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+8.1	17
4	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	0	2	+12	+9.9	15
5	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+5	-0.7	13
6	Rosenborg	7	3	4	0	+5	+6.9	13
7	Tromso	6	4	0	2	+2	+3.4	12
8	Bryne	6	3	1	2	+0	+3.3	10
9	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	2	2	+4	+4.4	8
10	Ham-Kam	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.3	8
11	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	+2	+0.2	7
12	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.5	7
13	Valerenga	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.2	5
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	6	0	2	4	-14	-6.7	2
16	Stromsgodset	6	0	0	6	-10	-4.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+4	-1.2	13
3	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.3	12
4	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
5	Molde	7	3	1	3	+2	-2.2	10
6	Valerenga	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.2	10
7	Brann	6	3	1	2	-1	+5.3	10
8	Rosenborg	7	3	1	3	-4	-0.8	10
9	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	2	1	+4	+4.2	8
10	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	-2	-6.5	6
11	Bryne	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.1	5
12	Fredrikstad	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
13	KFUM Oslo	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.4	5
14	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.7	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	7	0	0	7	-15	-16.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.