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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Tromso

S S T U U

1–2

Full-time

Brann

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 59%

59%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

59%

71%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 0,64

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 4. · Brann 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	13	3	3	+32	+30.0	42
2	Viking	19	13	3	3	+21	+17.2	42
3	Brann	17	10	3	4	+6	+14.7	33
4	Tromso	17	10	3	4	+6	+4.8	33
5	Rosenborg	18	8	6	4	+3	+6.9	30
6	Sandefjord	17	9	0	8	+9	-5.0	27
7	Fredrikstad	18	7	5	6	+3	-2.7	26
8	KFUM Oslo	17	7	4	6	+9	+3.2	25
9	Molde	17	7	2	8	+2	+2.6	23
10	Sarpsborg 08	17	5	7	5	+4	+12.6	22
11	Valerenga	17	6	3	8	-4	-4.2	21
12	Bryne	17	5	4	8	-8	-3.7	19
13	Kristiansund	17	5	4	8	-13	-12.9	19
14	Ham-Kam	17	4	5	8	-11	-12.1	17
15	Stromsgodset	18	3	0	15	-21	-21.3	9
16	Haugesund	18	1	2	15	-38	-30.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	9	8	0	1	+19	+2.1	24
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	1	2	+18	+16.2	22
3	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
4	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
5	Rosenborg	9	5	4	0	+10	+9.5	19
6	Fredrikstad	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.2	19
7	Tromso	8	5	1	2	+4	+6.0	16
8	Bryne	9	4	2	3	-1	+3.4	14
9	KFUM Oslo	8	4	1	3	+7	+1.8	13
10	Molde	9	4	1	4	+2	+5.3	13
11	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-0.1	11
12	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	3	3	+1	+4.2	9
13	Ham-Kam	8	2	3	3	-5	-5.8	9
14	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-5	-6.4	8
15	Haugesund	9	1	2	6	-18	-9.3	5
16	Stromsgodset	9	1	0	8	-14	-9.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	7	1	2	+9	+6.4	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+14	+13.8	20
3	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+2	-1.2	17
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+3	+8.3	13
5	Brann	8	4	1	3	+0	+5.6	13
6	KFUM Oslo	9	3	3	3	+2	+1.5	12
7	Rosenborg	9	3	2	4	-7	-2.5	11
8	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
9	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
10	Valerenga	9	3	1	5	-5	-4.1	10
11	Ham-Kam	9	2	2	5	-6	-6.4	8
12	Fredrikstad	8	1	4	3	-4	-1.6	7
13	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-7	-11.6	6
14	Bryne	8	1	2	5	-7	-7.1	5
15	Sandefjord	8	1	0	7	-10	-7.1	3
16	Haugesund	9	0	0	9	-20	-20.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.