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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Brann

U S S S T

1–3

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 42%

53%

30%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

53%

70%

Both score Ø 64%

58%

70%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,65 xG 1,90

70% Possession 30%

12 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 1

6 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brann 3. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	21	14	5	2	+32	+14.5	47
2	Viking	21	10	7	4	+12	+10.9	37
3	Brann	19	10	6	3	+10	+10.5	36
4	Molde	20	10	4	6	+15	+11.3	34
5	Fredrikstad	21	9	7	5	+6	+4.2	34
6	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	+1	+1.1	33
7	KFUM Oslo	20	7	8	5	+2	+6.8	29
8	Ham-Kam	21	6	7	8	-1	-1.6	25
9	Tromso	21	7	4	10	-5	-12.2	25
10	Stromsgodset	21	6	5	10	-10	-4.7	23
11	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	5	9	-13	-7.3	23
12	Kristiansund	19	5	7	7	-3	-6.7	22
13	Haugesund	21	6	4	11	-9	-6.5	22
14	Sandefjord	20	5	6	9	-4	-1.2	21
15	Lillestrom	21	6	2	13	-16	-5.7	20
16	Odd	21	4	6	11	-17	-13.2	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	8	1	2	+8	+5.1	25
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.9	24
3	Viking	11	7	3	1	+10	+7.3	24
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+9	+8.9	17
5	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
6	Fredrikstad	11	4	5	2	+1	+5.1	17
7	Kristiansund	9	4	4	1	+4	+3.9	16
8	Sandefjord	10	5	1	4	+2	+1.3	16
9	Stromsgodset	10	3	3	4	+0	+4.7	12
10	Haugesund	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.6	12
11	Tromso	11	3	2	6	-2	-1.1	11
12	KFUM Oslo	11	2	5	4	-4	+7.8	11
13	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	2	5	-7	-1.3	11
14	Ham-Kam	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.4	10
15	Odd	11	2	4	5	-7	-3.6	10
16	Lillestrom	10	2	2	6	-10	-2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	2	2	+12	+5.6	23
2	Brann	10	5	4	1	+6	+0.6	19
3	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+6	+2.3	17
5	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.9	17
6	Ham-Kam	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.1	15
7	Tromso	10	4	2	4	-3	-11.1	14
8	Viking	10	3	4	3	+2	+3.6	13
9	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	3	4	-6	-6.0	12
10	Lillestrom	11	4	0	7	-6	-3.5	12
11	Stromsgodset	11	3	2	6	-10	-9.4	11
12	Haugesund	11	2	4	5	-5	-5.9	10
13	Rosenborg	10	2	2	6	-7	-4.0	8
14	Odd	10	2	2	6	-10	-9.6	8
15	Kristiansund	10	1	3	6	-7	-10.6	6
16	Sandefjord	10	0	5	5	-6	-2.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.