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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Odd
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Odd Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
59%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,98 xG 1,89
32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Odd 16. · Sarpsborg 08 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 12 5 2 +25 +13.9 41
2 Viking 18 9 6 3 +10 +6.6 33
3 Brann 18 9 6 3 +6 +10.6 33
4 Molde 17 8 4 5 +12 +11.0 28
5 Fredrikstad 17 7 7 3 +8 +1.8 28
6 KFUM Oslo 17 5 8 4 +0 +4.5 23
7 Ham-Kam 18 5 6 7 +1 -2.8 21
8 Kristiansund 17 5 6 6 -2 -8.0 21
9 Rosenborg 16 6 3 7 -6 -1.7 21
10 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 3 8 -7 -4.8 21
11 Lillestrom 16 6 2 8 -7 -3.0 20
12 Stromsgodset 18 5 5 8 -7 -3.2 20
13 Tromso 18 5 3 10 -7 -9.0 18
14 Sandefjord 18 4 5 9 -5 -0.8 17
15 Haugesund 17 5 2 10 -9 -5.6 17
16 Odd 17 4 5 8 -12 -9.5 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Odd Sarpsborg 08
28′
🟨 Menno Koch
1–0 M. Ingebrigtsen
29′
Half-time 1–0
Filip Rønningen Jørgensen 🟨
49′
51′
S. Christiansen 1–1
A. Hiim
T. Børven 🔁
↦ O. Midtskogen
65′
73′
🔁 E. Wichne
↦ S. Christiansen
T. Miettinen 🔁
↦ S. Owusu
75′
J. Baccay 🔁
↦ S. Hagen
76′
S. Aas 🔁
↦ T. Svendsen
83′
B. Njie 🔁
↦ S. Skjeldal
84′
84′
🔁 D. Job
↦ S. Ørjasæter
84′
🔁 S. Martinsson Ngouali
↦ S. Johansen
Tony Miettinen 🟨
92′
94′
🔁 N. Sandberg
↦ F. Carstensen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Odd

5-3-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Ruud D
17 S. Owusu D
21 S. Hagen D
14 S. Sinyan D
13 S. Skjeldal D
7 F. Jørgensen M
8 E. Hussain M
6 T. Svendsen M
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
9 O. Midtskogen F
Bench (9)
19 T. Børven
5 T. Miettinen
3 J. Baccay
18 S. Aas
24 B. Njie
20 T. Rekdal
30 P. Nygaard Klausen
25 G. Ambrose
29 B. Bang-Kittelsen

Coach: K. Dokken

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
13 C. Eriksson G
72 S. Christiansen D
2 M. Koch D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
17 A. Hiim D
6 A. Sher M
10 S. Johansen M
16 F. Carstensen M
14 J. Inge Berget M
27 S. Ørjasæter M
19 H. Meister F
Bench (9)
32 E. Wichne
26 D. Job
18 S. Martinsson Ngouali
23 N. Sandberg
22 V. Halvorsen
20 P. Reinhardsen
3 A. Skipper
25 J. Gregersen
40 L. Øy

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.