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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Sarpsborg 08

T S T T S

5–1

Full-time

Stromsgodset

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,5

This season — Eliteserien · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

56%

70%

Both score Ø 48%

56%

40%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 7. · Stromsgodset 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	7	3	0	+14	24
2	Molde	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Viking	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Stromsgodset	10	5	2	3	+1	17
5	Aalesund	10	4	3	3	-1	15
6	Rosenborg	9	3	5	1	+5	14
7	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	+6	13
8	Bodo/Glimt	9	3	4	2	+4	13
9	Odd	10	4	0	6	-6	12
10	Tromso	9	2	5	2	-3	11
11	Valerenga	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Ham-Kam	9	1	6	2	+1	9
13	Sandefjord	8	3	0	5	-4	9
14	Haugesund	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Jerv	9	2	1	6	-13	7
16	Kristiansund	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Molde	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Stromsgodset	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	4	0	+4	7
8	Aalesund	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	-2	7
10	Jerv	5	2	1	2	-4	7
11	Ham-Kam	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lillestrom	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Sandefjord	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Aalesund	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Viking	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Rosenborg	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Ham-Kam	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Valerenga	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Jerv	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.