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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Genk
T U S S S
2–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
0,5
Scored
3,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 3. · Cercle Brugge 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
2 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
3 Genk 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Charleroi 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Waregem 5 2 1 2 +0 7
6 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Kortrijk 5 2 1 2 -1 7
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 2 0 2 -1 6
9 Oostende 5 2 0 3 -2 6
10 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 -2 6
11 Club Brugge 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Gent 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Cercle Brugge 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Mechelen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
15 Seraing 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Seraing United 5 1 0 4 -4 3
17 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Cercle Brugge
1–0 B. Heynen
G. Arteaga
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 K. Denkey
↦ T. Somers
46′
O. Deman 1–1
K. Denkey
Mike Trésor ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
55′
2–1 B. Heynen
57′
61′
🔁 Heitor
↦ L. Torres
P. Onuachu 🔁
↦ A. Németh
71′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
71′
Paul Onuachu 🟨
84′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ J. Paintsil
87′
87′
🔁 C. Ravych
↦ J. Daland
87′
🔁 A. Sampers
↦ D. Hotić
89′
🟨 Olivier Deman
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
28 J. Paintsil M
34 B. El Khannouss M
11 M. Trésor M
35 A. Németh F
Bench (7)
18 P. Onuachu
10 N. Castro
7 M. Samatta
77 A. Preciado
27 M. Didden
25 M. Galarza
40 T. Leysen

Coach: W. Vrancken

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
8 R. Decostere D
5 B. Popović D
4 J. Daland D
29 L. Torres D
14 C. Vanhoutte M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
34 T. Somers M
10 D. Hotić M
23 O. Deman M
36 A. Ueda F
Bench (7)
9 K. Denkey
2 Heitor
66 C. Ravych
42 A. Sampers
19 D. Velkovski
28 H. Van der Bruggen
21 Warleson

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,59
U
4,17
B
5,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.