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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
Tirol
T S S U T
0–1
Full-time
St. Polten
U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 34%
44%
24%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
63%
71%
Both score Ø 55%
56%
53%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 5. · St. Polten 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 17 13 1 3 +36 40
2 SK Rapid 17 11 4 2 +15 37
3 LASK 17 10 3 4 +18 33
4 Sturm Graz 17 9 4 4 +13 31
5 Tirol 16 7 3 6 +3 24
6 Wolfsberger AC 17 7 3 7 -3 24
7 Austria Vienna 17 4 6 7 -4 18
8 Hartberg 16 4 6 6 -12 18
9 St. Polten 17 4 5 8 -5 17
10 Ried 17 4 3 10 -16 15
11 Altach 17 3 3 11 -21 12
12 Admira 17 3 3 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol St. Polten
-5′
🟨 Daniel Luxbacher
3′
🟨 Daniel Drescher
27′
🔁 D. Schütz
↦ D. Luxbacher
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Booth
↦ D. Schütz
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
61′
B. Pranter 🔁
↦ T. Anselm
61′
63′
🔁 D. Hugi
↦ A. Schmidt
Johannes Naschberger 🟨
72′
73′
K. Schulz 0–1
T. Booth
74′
🔁 G. Davies
↦ S. Tetteh
74′
🔁 P. Pokorný
↦ D. Drescher
77′
🟨 Taylor Booth
Bruno Soares 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
20 T. Anselm F
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
17 J. Naschberger
7 B. Pranter
44 Bruno Soares
12 B. Ozegovic
34 S. Hager
10 F. Toplitsch
8 R. Smith

Coach: T. Silberberger

St. Polten

5-3-2
1 C. Riegler G
29 D. Drescher D
21 K. Schulz D
14 M. Blauensteiner D
17 A. Muhamedbegovic D
4 M. Steinwender D
10 D. Luxbacher M
26 L. Tursch M
39 R. Ljubičić M
9 A. Schmidt F
99 S. Tetteh F
Bench (7)
20 D. Schütz
30 T. Booth
19 D. Hugi
11 G. Davies
6 P. Pokorný
18 E. Metu
13 A. Gremsl

Coach: R. Ibertsberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.