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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schmidt

M'gladbach

S S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Mainz

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,6

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 67%

76%

57%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

12 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 7. · Mainz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	21	15	4	2	+32	49
2	RB Leipzig	21	13	5	3	+19	44
3	Wolfsburg	22	11	9	2	+16	42
4	Ein Frankfurt	21	10	9	2	+14	39
5	Leverkusen	21	10	6	5	+16	36
6	Dortmund	21	10	3	8	+10	33
7	M'gladbach	21	8	9	4	+6	33
8	Freiburg	21	8	7	6	+2	31
9	Union Berlin	21	7	9	5	+9	30
10	Stuttgart	21	6	8	7	+3	26
11	Werder Bremen	20	5	8	7	-3	23
12	Hoffenheim	21	6	5	10	-7	23
13	Augsburg	21	6	4	11	-13	22
14	FC Koln	21	5	6	10	-15	21
15	Hertha	21	4	6	11	-11	18
16	Bielefeld	21	5	3	13	-20	18
17	Mainz	21	3	5	13	-21	14
18	Schalke 04	21	1	6	14	-37	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Bayern Munich	10	7	3	0	+22	24
3	Wolfsburg	10	6	4	0	+9	22
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	5	0	+8	20
5	Freiburg	11	5	4	2	+8	19
6	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+8	19
7	M'gladbach	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Union Berlin	11	4	6	1	+9	18
9	Dortmund	10	5	2	3	+8	17
10	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-9	12
11	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	+0	11
12	Augsburg	11	3	2	6	-8	11
13	Werder Bremen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
14	Stuttgart	10	1	6	3	-2	9
15	Hertha	10	2	2	6	-9	8
16	Mainz	11	2	2	7	-9	8
17	FC Koln	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Schalke 04	11	1	2	8	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	1	2	+10	25
2	Wolfsburg	12	5	5	2	+7	20
3	Ein Frankfurt	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Leverkusen	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Stuttgart	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	RB Leipzig	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Dortmund	11	5	1	5	+2	16
8	FC Koln	11	4	3	4	-7	15
9	M'gladbach	10	3	5	2	+0	14
10	Werder Bremen	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Union Berlin	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Freiburg	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Hoffenheim	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Augsburg	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Hertha	11	2	4	5	-2	10
16	Bielefeld	10	1	3	6	-11	6
17	Mainz	10	1	3	6	-12	6
18	Schalke 04	10	0	4	6	-23	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.